Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ

2 – 1 Full time

14′D. Dudzinski
29′K. Szymocha
38′K. Spiewak
46′A. BrodR. Vaclavik
56′M. KsiazekV. Kostevych
56′F. AdamskiJ. Tkaczyk
63′M. SurzynD. Koltanski
63′N. GozdeckiS. Sobczak
63′B. MikolajczykT. Kubik
68′R. Sewerys
73′I. LawrynowiczB. Kosiba
81′P. Vosko
81′K. SpiewakO. Dari
87′B. Juszczyk
90′K. Talar

Stadion Miejski w Kleczewie, KleczewReferee: P. Rzucidlo

Sokół Kleczew 30%
Draw 26%
Podhale Nowy Targ 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySokół KleczewDrawPodhale Nowy Targ
Model26.5%25.0%48.5%
Market31.4%26.0%42.6%
Final30.2%25.8%44.1%
Edge-1.2%-0.2%+1.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Podhale Nowy Targ

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.30.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 2 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sokół Kleczew ↓ / Podhale Nowy T → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Sokół Kleczew and Podhale Nowy Targ expected goals

Sokół Kleczew 1.30
Podhale Nowy Targ 1.82

Total expected goals: 3.12

Sokół Kleczew and Podhale Nowy Targ attack and defence ratings

Sokół Kleczew

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Podhale Nowy Targ

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ: result vs prediction

Sokół Kleczew 2 – 1 Podhale Nowy Targ

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Podhale Nowy Targ 44.1% 2.27 +1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.0% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.5% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sokół Kleczew30.2%
Draw25.8%
Podhale Nowy Targ44.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.3%
Under 2.539.7%
Both teams to scoreYes62.0%
No38.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.9%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)69.8%
Handicap -1Podhale Nowy Targ win27.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss51.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
1-29.5%
0-27.3%

Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ stats

Sokół Kleczew and Podhale Nowy Targ recent form

newest first
Sokół Kleczew WD
Podhale Nowy Targ WW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Sokół Kleczew wins 2Draws 1Podhale Nowy Targ wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-01Sokół KleczewPodhale Nowy TargII Liga - East0-0
2026-04-15Podhale Nowy TargSokół KleczewII Liga - East4-0
2025-09-12Sokół KleczewPodhale Nowy TargII Liga - East2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.4%, draw 26.0%, away 42.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.96 3.46 2.07
Bet365 2.80 3.40 2.15
BetVictor 2.88 3.60 2.15
Betano 2.87 3.50 2.20
Betfair 2.88 3.60 2.05
Dafabet 2.90 3.60 2.23
Marathonbet 2.89 3.46 2.05
Pinnacle 2.85 3.53 2.12
SBO 2.65 3.28 2.13
William Hill 2.90 3.30 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.88 ▲ +0.13
X 3.48 ▼ -0.02
2 2.12 ▲ +0.02

2 snapshots recorded, from .