Siarka Tarnobrzeg
vs
Lech Poznan
1 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | Y. Agnero | ||
| 45′ | Y. Agnero | ||
| 46′ | L. PalmaE. Sledzinski | ||
| 46′ | R. MurawskiW. Szymczak | ||
| 58′ | K. CzaplaA. Kromka | ||
| 64′ | A. Kasia | ||
| 73′ | P. BartczakM. Gurgul | ||
| 73′ | F. JagielloP. Rodriguez | ||
| 73′ | L. BengtssonP. Walemark | ||
| 77′ | S. MajewskiF. Kmieckowiak | ||
| 84′ | T. Yegbe | ||
| 90′ | P. PeciakA. Maj | ||
| 90′ | P. Rodriguez |
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan
| Probability | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Draw | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.1% | 20.7% | 57.2% |
| Market | 6.3% | 14.0% | 79.7% |
| Final | 10.2% | 15.7% | 74.1% |
| Edge | +4.0% | +1.7% | -5.6% |
Why Lech Poznan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Lech Poznan expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.86
Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Lech Poznan attack and defence ratings
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Lech Poznan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan: result vs prediction
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 – 0 Lech Poznan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza
- Górnik Łęczna v GKS Katowice — match page
- Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats
- Piast Gliwice v Gornik Zabrze — match page
- Sokół Kleczew v Podhale Nowy Targ — match page
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Wisla Plock — match page
- Znicz Pruszków v Ruch Chorzów — match page
- Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lech Poznan | 74.1% | 1.35 | -5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 10.2% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Lech Poznan | 74.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.6% |
| No | 29.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 25.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lech Poznan win | 37.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | 8.2% | |
| 1-3 | 7.1% |
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan stats
Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Lech Poznan recent form
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
WL |
| Lech Poznan |
WDWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 6.3%, draw 14.0%, away 79.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 15.00 | 6.85 | 1.10 |
| Bet365 | 15.00 | 5.25 | 1.18 |
| BetVictor | 15.00 | 6.50 | 1.14 |
| Betano | 11.75 | 5.80 | 1.17 |
| Betfair | 14.00 | 6.50 | 1.12 |
| Dafabet | 14.00 | 7.00 | 1.16 |
| Marathonbet | 15.00 | 6.85 | 1.10 |
| Pinnacle | 10.96 | 7.20 | 1.11 |
| SBO | 10.60 | 5.90 | 1.14 |
| William Hill | 15.00 | 6.50 | 1.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .