Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Wisla Plock

1 – 2 Full time

22′M. Flis
29′S. Hamulic
30′K. Savvidis
35′S. Gawel
46′S. GawelK. Kasolik
46′P. KunD. Gallapeni
63′A. Piekarski
64′W. KaminskiA. Trubeha
64′F. JaworskiA. Gjoni
64′O. GerstensteinF. Nascimento
65′F. Hiszpanski
71′F. HiszpanskiZ. Rogelj
79′S. HamulicS. Akere
83′B. Kurzeja
88′I. PieprzycaK. Stepien
92′G. KuchkoK. Blaszkiewicz
96′K. KasolikK. Iwao
99′D. JuricA. Silva
99′M. FlisM. Koscielecki
109′S. Akere

Referee: W. Myc

Puszcza Niepołomice 28%
Draw 28%
Wisla Plock 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Wisla Plock overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Wisla Plock

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPuszcza NiepołomiceDrawWisla Plock
Model40.0%30.5%29.5%
Market24.1%26.6%49.3%
Final28.1%27.6%44.3%
Edge+4.0%+1.0%-4.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Wisla Plock

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Puszcza Niepoł ↓ / Wisla Plock → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Puszcza Niepołomice and Wisla Plock expected goals

Puszcza Niepołomice 1.28
Wisla Plock 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.34

Puszcza Niepołomice and Wisla Plock attack and defence ratings

Puszcza Niepołomice

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Wisla Plock

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Wisla Plock: result vs prediction

Puszcza Niepołomice 1 – 2 Wisla Plock

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Wisla Plock markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wisla Plock 44.3% 2.26 -4.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.5% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 51.5% 1.94 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.5% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Puszcza Niepołomice28.1%
Draw27.6%
Wisla Plock44.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.5%
Under 2.558.5%
Both teams to scoreYes48.5%
No51.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.7%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)71.9%
Handicap -1Wisla Plock win11.9%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss70.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-011.0%
0-010.9%

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Wisla Plock stats

Puszcza Niepołomice and Wisla Plock recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Wisla Plock head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Wisla Plock odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.1%, draw 26.6%, away 49.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.96 3.42 1.77
Bet365 3.50 3.40 1.83
BetVictor 3.75 3.50 1.85
Betano 3.75 3.40 1.93
Betfair 3.60 3.50 1.85
Dafabet 3.80 3.45 1.93
Marathonbet 3.86 3.42 1.75
Pinnacle 3.76 3.40 1.83
SBO 3.34 3.09 1.90
William Hill 3.90 3.25 1.83

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.75 ▼ -0.10
X 3.41 ▼ -0.19
2 1.84 ▲ +0.04

3 snapshots recorded, from .