Wisla Plock
vs
Piast Gliwice
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wisla Plock
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Wisla Plock is the favourite, not a value bet.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice
| Probability | Wisla Plock | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.9% | 27.2% | 45.9% |
| Market | 45.5% | 26.5% | 28.1% |
| Final | 40.8% | 26.6% | 32.5% |
| Edge | -4.7% | +0.2% | +4.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.2% per unit staked (our 40.8% × 2.20 − 1).
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice match preview
Wisla Plock faces Piast Gliwice in their upcoming Ekstraklasa match, with probabilities indicating a 41% chance for a Wisla Plock win, a 27% chance for a draw, and a 33% chance for a Piast Gliwice victory. The expected goals suggest Wisla Plock will score 1.17, while Piast Gliwice is projected to net 1.59. Recent form shows Wisla Plock with a record of L-W-L-W-W-D, while Piast Gliwice has W-D-W-L-W-W.
The most likely scoreline from the model is 2-1 in favor of Wisla Plock, occurring at a rate of 7%. Additionally, there is a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance that both teams will score. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters shows each team with one win.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wisla Plock and Piast Gliwice expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Wisla Plock and Piast Gliwice attack and defence ratings
Wisla Plock
Piast Gliwice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce — team news & stats
- Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow
- Cracovia Krakow v Motor Lublin — match page
- GKS Katowice vs Widzew Łódź — team news & stats
- Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin
- Radomiak Radom v Slask Wroclaw — match page
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wisla Plock | 40.8% | 2.45 | -4.7% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wisla Plock | 40.8% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Piast Gliwice | 32.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% |
| No | 43.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wisla Plock win | 11.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.6% | |
| Loss | 73.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 8.9% |
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice stats
Wisla Plock and Piast Gliwice recent form
| Wisla Plock |
LWLWWD |
| Piast Gliwice |
WDWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wisla Plock and Piast Gliwice season so far
Wisla Plock record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Piast Gliwice record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Piast Gliwice | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Wisla Plock | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 26.5%, away 28.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.60 | 3.34 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 3.60 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.42 | 3.52 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .