Cracovia Krakow
vs
Motor Lublin
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cracovia Krakow
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Cracovia Krakow is the favourite, not a value bet.
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin
| Probability | Cracovia Krakow | Draw | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.8% | 24.3% | 33.9% |
| Market | 45.5% | 25.9% | 28.7% |
| Final | 44.5% | 25.5% | 30.0% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.4% | +1.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.09, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.9% per unit staked (our 44.5% × 2.09 − 1).
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin match preview
Cracovia Krakow faces Motor Lublin in an Ekstraklasa matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Cracovia Krakow has a 45% chance of winning, while Motor Lublin stands at 30%, and the draw is at 25%. The expected goals for Cracovia Krakow are 1.81, compared to 1.62 for Motor Lublin. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-1 in favor of Cracovia Krakow, with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Cracovia Krakow has recorded one draw and four losses in their last six matches, while Motor Lublin has two wins, three draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with our model indicating a 68% chance for both teams to find the net and a 67% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cracovia Krakow and Motor Lublin expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.43
Cracovia Krakow and Motor Lublin attack and defence ratings
Cracovia Krakow
Motor Lublin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa
- Wisla Plock v Piast Gliwice — match page
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce — team news & stats
- Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow
- GKS Katowice vs Widzew Łódź — team news & stats
- Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin
- Radomiak Radom v Slask Wroclaw — match page
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cracovia Krakow | 44.5% | 2.25 | -0.9% | 2.09 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cracovia Krakow | 44.5% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Motor Lublin | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% |
| No | 31.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cracovia Krakow win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin stats
Cracovia Krakow and Motor Lublin recent form
| Cracovia Krakow |
LDWLLL |
| Motor Lublin |
DWWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cracovia Krakow and Motor Lublin season so far
Cracovia Krakow record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Motor Lublin record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Motor Lublin | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 3-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Cracovia Krakow | Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 25.9%, away 28.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.26 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.55 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 3.69 | 3.27 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .