Wieczysta Kraków
vs
Jagiellonia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wieczysta Kraków
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Wieczysta Kraków is the favourite, not a value bet.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia
| Probability | Wieczysta Kraków | Draw | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.5% | 25.9% | 30.6% |
| Market | 43.4% | 24.4% | 32.1% |
| Final | 43.5% | 24.8% | 31.8% |
| Edge | +0.0% | +0.4% | -0.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.4% per unit staked (our 43.5% × 2.20 − 1).
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia match preview
In the upcoming Ekstraklasa match, Wieczysta Kraków is set to face Jagiellonia on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Wieczysta Kraków has a 51% probability of winning, while Jagiellonia holds a 26% chance, and a draw is estimated at 23%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Wieczysta Kraków, with an expected goals tally of 2.03 for them and 1.41 for Jagiellonia.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Wieczysta Kraków recording a form of L-L-W-D-L-D, and Jagiellonia on a poor run of L-L-W-L-L-L. Our model indicates a high likelihood of goals, with a 67% chance for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wieczysta Kraków and Jagiellonia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Wieczysta Kraków and Jagiellonia attack and defence ratings
Wieczysta Kraków
Jagiellonia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa
- Wisla Plock v Piast Gliwice — match page
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce — team news & stats
- Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow
- Cracovia Krakow v Motor Lublin — match page
- GKS Katowice vs Widzew Łódź — team news & stats
- Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin
- Radomiak Radom v Slask Wroclaw — match page
Before and after this match
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wieczysta Kraków | 43.5% | 2.30 | +0.0% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wieczysta Kraków | 43.5% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Jagiellonia | 31.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wieczysta Kraków win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 56.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia stats
Wieczysta Kraków and Jagiellonia recent form
| Wieczysta Kraków |
LLLWDL |
| Jagiellonia |
WLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wieczysta Kraków and Jagiellonia season so far
Wieczysta Kraków record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Jagiellonia record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.4%, draw 24.4%, away 32.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.80 | 2.92 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.87 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.85 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 4.05 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.75 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .