Lechia Gdansk
vs
Jagiellonia
0 – 6 Full time
| 2′ | S. Kopasek | ||
| 34′ | N. Prelec | ||
| 40′ | O. Sow | ||
| 43′ | A. Cirkovic | ||
| 50′ | O. Sow | ||
| 54′ | J. Imaz | ||
| 57′ | N. PrelecD. Rallis | ||
| 57′ | T. RomanczukE. Kozlowski | ||
| 59′ | J. MenaK. Dodaj | ||
| 59′ | A. ShakhJ. Adkonis | ||
| 61′ | O. Sow | ||
| 65′ | O. SowK. Jozwiak | ||
| 65′ | J. ImazS. Lozano | ||
| 68′ | D. Rallis | ||
| 71′ | R. ConceicaoB. Vital | ||
| 73′ | H. IvanovB. Szczepankiewicz | ||
| 73′ | V. BlanutaB. Sonko | ||
| 78′ | T. WojtowiczM. Glogowski |
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia
| Probability | Lechia Gdansk | Draw | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.2% | 23.4% | 24.4% |
| Market | 21.6% | 24.8% | 53.6% |
| Final | 29.2% | 24.4% | 46.3% |
| Edge | +7.7% | -0.3% | -7.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lechia Gdansk and Jagiellonia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Lechia Gdansk and Jagiellonia attack and defence ratings
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia: result vs prediction
Lechia Gdansk 0 – 6 Jagiellonia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jagiellonia | 46.3% | 2.16 | -7.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lechia Gdansk | 29.2% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Jagiellonia | 46.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% |
| No | 35.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Jagiellonia win | 10.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.5% | |
| Loss | 76.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.1% |
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia stats
Lechia Gdansk and Jagiellonia recent form
| Lechia Gdansk |
LWWWWL |
| Jagiellonia |
WLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Lechia Gdansk | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Jagiellonia | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Lechia Gdansk | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Jagiellonia | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-10 | Jagiellonia | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Lechia Gdansk | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 2-2 |
| 2021-12-11 | Lechia Gdansk | Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa | 1-2 |
| 2021-09-21 | Jagiellonia | Lechia Gdansk | Cup | 1-3 |
| 2021-07-24 | Jagiellonia | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-16 | Jagiellonia | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.6%, draw 24.8%, away 53.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.26 | 3.64 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.30 | 3.75 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.40 | 3.85 | 1.71 |
| Marathonbet | 4.15 | 3.64 | 1.65 |
| Pinnacle | 3.73 | 3.68 | 1.68 |
| SBO | 3.86 | 3.40 | 1.68 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .