Lechia Gdansk
vs
Unia Skierniewice
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lechia Gdansk
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.15.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice
| Probability | Lechia Gdansk | Draw | Unia Skierniewice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.5% | 21.1% | 17.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 61.5% | 21.1% | 17.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Lechia Gdansk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice match preview
Lechia Gdansk faces Unia Skierniewice in an I Liga matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Lechia Gdansk has a 64% probability of winning, while Unia Skierniewice stands at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an expected goals tally of 2.36 for Lechia Gdansk and 1.13 for Unia Skierniewice. Additionally, there is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% likelihood that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Lechia Gdansk has recorded four wins and one loss in their last six matches, while Unia Skierniewice has struggled, with two losses, two draws, and one win in the same period. This performance disparity may influence the outcome of the match, contributing to the confidence grade of C for this fixture.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lechia Gdansk and Unia Skierniewice expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Lechia Gdansk and Unia Skierniewice attack and defence ratings
Lechia Gdansk
Unia Skierniewice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lechia Gdansk | 61.5% | 1.63 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% | 1.62 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% | 1.21 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Lechia Gdansk win | 39.9% | 2.51 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lechia Gdansk | 61.5% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| Unia Skierniewice | 17.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% |
| No | 38.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lechia Gdansk win | 39.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 8.5% |
Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice stats
Lechia Gdansk and Unia Skierniewice recent form
| Lechia Gdansk |
LWWWWL |
| Unia Skierniewice |
LLDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lechia Gdansk and Unia Skierniewice season so far
Lechia Gdansk record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Unia Skierniewice record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.