Unia Skierniewice
vs
Polonia Bytom
Garuda Lions Prediction: Polonia Bytom
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom
| Probability | Unia Skierniewice | Draw | Polonia Bytom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 26.7% | 40.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.0% | 26.7% | 40.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Polonia Bytom
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom match preview
Unia Skierniewice faces Polonia Bytom in an upcoming I Liga match, with the model assigning a 33% probability of a home win for Unia, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 40% likelihood of an away victory for Polonia. The expected goals for Unia are 1.39, while Polonia is projected to score 1.56.
In terms of recent form, Unia Skierniewice has recorded a sequence of L-D-D-W-L-L, whereas Polonia Bytom has shown stronger performance with W-W-D-W-D-D. The model suggests a most likely scoreline of 1-2, with a 9% probability, and indicates a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals, alongside a 60% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Unia Skierniewice and Polonia Bytom expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Unia Skierniewice and Polonia Bytom attack and defence ratings
Unia Skierniewice
Polonia Bytom
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polonia Bytom | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Unia Skierniewice | 33.0% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Polonia Bytom | 40.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% |
| No | 39.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polonia Bytom win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom stats
Unia Skierniewice and Polonia Bytom recent form
| Unia Skierniewice |
LDDWLL |
| Polonia Bytom |
WWDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Unia Skierniewice and Polonia Bytom season so far
Unia Skierniewice record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Polonia Bytom record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.