Podbeskidzie
vs
Stal Rzeszów
Garuda Lions Prediction: Podbeskidzie
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Podbeskidzie is the favourite, not a value bet.
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów
| Probability | Podbeskidzie | Draw | Stal Rzeszów |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 27.2% | 38.0% |
| Market | 47.6% | 25.3% | 27.1% |
| Final | 44.4% | 25.8% | 29.9% |
| Edge | -3.2% | +0.5% | +2.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.03, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.9% per unit staked (our 44.4% × 2.03 − 1).
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów match preview
Podbeskidzie faces Stal Rzeszów in an I Liga matchup, with Podbeskidzie holding a 45% probability of winning compared to Stal Rzeszów's 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Podbeskidzie, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood of both teams scoring. The expected goals are close, with Podbeskidzie at 1.39 and Stal Rzeszów at 1.47.
Recent form shows Podbeskidzie struggling with one win in their last six matches (L-W-D-D-D-L), while Stal Rzeszów is in strong form, winning their last six games (W-L-W-W-W-W). In their last six encounters, Podbeskidzie has secured one win, while Stal Rzeszów has three victories and two draws. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Podbeskidzie and Stal Rzeszów expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
Podbeskidzie and Stal Rzeszów attack and defence ratings
Podbeskidzie
Stal Rzeszów
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów — team news & stats
- Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom — team news & stats
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Lechia Gdansk — match page
- Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce — team news & stats
- Ruch Chorzów v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — match page
- Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź
Before and after this match
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Podbeskidzie | 44.4% | 2.25 | -3.2% | 2.03 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Podbeskidzie | 44.4% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Stal Rzeszów | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% |
| No | 40.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Podbeskidzie win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów stats
Podbeskidzie and Stal Rzeszów recent form
| Podbeskidzie |
LWDDDL |
| Stal Rzeszów |
WLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Podbeskidzie and Stal Rzeszów season so far
Podbeskidzie record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stal Rzeszów record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Stal Rzeszów | Podbeskidzie | Poland Cup | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-19 | Stal Rzeszów | Podbeskidzie | I Liga | 2-2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Podbeskidzie | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Podbeskidzie | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga | 2-2 |
| 2022-08-27 | Stal Rzeszów | Podbeskidzie | I Liga | 5-0 |
| 2020-08-15 | Stal Rzeszów | Podbeskidzie | Cup | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszów odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 25.4%, away 27.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.54 | 3.42 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.03 | 3.60 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.54 | 3.35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.76 | 3.50 |
| SBO | 1.88 | 3.22 | 3.06 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .