Garuda Lions
Today
Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów

1 – 2 Full time

2′M. Milewski
26′E. DemirovicA. Sidibe
41′M. Listkowski
46′S. LewkotM. Ambrosiewicz
46′D. KunF. Walus
46′W. BrzekM. Leniart
55′M. Leniart
60′M. RittmullerA. Buksa
60′E. WisniowskiS. Pukala
62′V. Krasovskiy
69′S. SalamonO. Madej
71′D. Kocyla
71′O. Madej
72′D. KocylaK. Solecki
77′A. Buksa
78′F. Walus
81′A. Buksa
82′M. MilewskiE. Rama
90′M. ThiedeW. Machura
90′S. Goss

Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, GdyniaReferee: S. Lezny

Arka Gdynia 57%
Draw 22%
Stal Rzeszów 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArka GdyniaDrawStal Rzeszów
Model36.9%24.8%38.3%
Market64.4%21.1%14.5%
Final57.5%22.0%20.5%
Edge-6.9%+0.9%+5.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Arka Gdynia ↓ / Stal Rzeszów → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Arka Gdynia and Stal Rzeszów expected goals

Arka Gdynia 1.67
Stal Rzeszów 1.68

Total expected goals: 3.35

Arka Gdynia and Stal Rzeszów attack and defence ratings

Arka Gdynia

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Stal Rzeszów

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów: result vs prediction

Arka Gdynia 1 – 2 Stal Rzeszów

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Arka Gdynia 57.5% 1.74 -6.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.0% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.0% 1.49 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.5% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.5% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Arka Gdynia57.5%
Draw22.0%
Stal Rzeszów20.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.0%
Under 2.535.0%
Both teams to scoreYes67.0%
No33.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.5%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)42.5%
Handicap -1Arka Gdynia win19.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss62.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
1-28.3%
2-18.2%

Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów stats

Arka Gdynia and Stal Rzeszów recent form

newest first
Arka Gdynia WLLLLD
Stal Rzeszów LWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4Arka Gdynia wins 1Draws 2Stal Rzeszów wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-01Arka GdyniaStal RzeszówI Liga4-0
2024-12-02Arka GdyniaStal RzeszówI Liga2-1
2024-07-22Stal RzeszówArka GdyniaI Liga1-0
2024-02-25Arka GdyniaStal RzeszówI Liga5-1
2023-08-13Stal RzeszówArka GdyniaI Liga2-3
2023-05-07Stal RzeszówArka GdyniaI Liga2-1
2022-10-09Arka GdyniaStal RzeszówI Liga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.4%, draw 21.1%, away 14.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.40 4.20 6.37
Bet365 1.40 4.10 6.25
BetVictor 1.40 4.40 6.50
Betano 1.44 4.35 6.20
Betfair 1.36 4.40 6.00
Dafabet 1.44 4.60 6.40
Marathonbet 1.39 4.20 6.05
Pinnacle 1.43 4.46 6.20
SBO 1.36 4.10 6.09
William Hill 1.44 4.00 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.15
X 4.28 ▲ +0.29
2 6.20 ▲ +1.13

3 snapshots recorded, from .