Podbeskidzie
vs
Warta Poznań
Garuda Lions Prediction: Warta Poznań
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznań overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznań
| Probability | Podbeskidzie | Draw | Warta Poznań |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.9% | 30.9% | 39.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.9% | 30.9% | 39.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Warta Poznań
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznań match preview
Podbeskidzie faces Warta Poznań in an I Liga matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are 30% for Podbeskidzie, 31% for a draw, and 39% for Warta Poznań. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with an 11% likelihood. Expected goals are estimated at 1.05 for Podbeskidzie and 1.24 for Warta Poznań.
In terms of recent form, Podbeskidzie has recorded a sequence of results including one win, two draws, and two losses, while Warta Poznań's latest performances feature three wins, two losses, and one win prior. The probability of over 2.5 goals is set at 40%, and both teams to score stands at 48%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Podbeskidzie and Warta Poznań expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.30
Podbeskidzie and Warta Poznań attack and defence ratings
Podbeskidzie
Warta Poznań
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznań markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warta Poznań | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Podbeskidzie | 29.9% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Warta Poznań | 39.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Warta Poznań win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.4% | |
| 0-1 | 11.2% |
Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznań stats
Podbeskidzie and Warta Poznań recent form
| Podbeskidzie |
LWDDDL |
| Warta Poznań |
WLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Podbeskidzie and Warta Poznań season so far
Podbeskidzie record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Warta Poznań record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).