Miedz Legnica
vs
Nieciecza
Garuda Lions Prediction: Miedz Legnica
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza
| Probability | Miedz Legnica | Draw | Nieciecza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.0% | 27.5% | 31.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 41.0% | 27.5% | 31.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza match preview
Miedz Legnica faces Nieciecza in an I Liga matchup with Miedz Legnica holding a 41% probability of winning, while Nieciecza stands at 31%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Miedz Legnica, with a 9% chance of this outcome. Both teams exhibit a reasonable likelihood of scoring, with a 58% probability for both teams to find the net and a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Miedz Legnica has recorded two draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Nieciecza comes in with a stronger performance, having won four of their last six games. The expected goals for Miedz Legnica is 1.50, compared to 1.29 for Nieciecza, indicating a competitive encounter ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Miedz Legnica and Nieciecza expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Miedz Legnica and Nieciecza attack and defence ratings
Miedz Legnica
Nieciecza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Miedz Legnica | 41.0% | 2.44 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.0% | 1.70 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Miedz Legnica | 41.0% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Nieciecza | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Miedz Legnica win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 59.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 8.0% |
Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza stats
Miedz Legnica and Nieciecza recent form
| Miedz Legnica |
DWLLLD |
| Nieciecza |
LWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Miedz Legnica and Nieciecza season so far
Miedz Legnica record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Nieciecza record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.