Polonia Bytom
vs
Odra Opole
Garuda Lions Prediction: Polonia Bytom
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.92.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Polonia Bytom is the favourite, not a value bet.
Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole
| Probability | Polonia Bytom | Draw | Odra Opole |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.5% | 31.1% | 25.4% |
| Market | 45.7% | 26.1% | 28.2% |
| Final | 45.1% | 27.3% | 27.5% |
| Edge | -0.5% | +1.2% | -0.7% |
Why Polonia Bytom
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.5% per unit staked (our 45.1% × 2.05 − 1).
Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole match preview
Polonia Bytom enters this match with a strong recent form, recording three wins and two draws in their last five matches. Their expected goals stand at 1.40, suggesting a solid attacking performance, while Odra Opole has struggled, with an expected goals figure of 0.82 and a recent form of two losses, one win, and two draws.
According to our model, Polonia Bytom has a 49% probability of winning, while Odra Opole's chances sit at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Polonia Bytom, with a 14% probability. Additionally, there is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% likelihood that both teams will score in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Polonia Bytom and Odra Opole expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Polonia Bytom and Odra Opole attack and defence ratings
Polonia Bytom
Odra Opole
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec
- Miedz Legnica v Nieciecza — match page
- Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice — team news & stats
- Podbeskidzie v Warta Poznań — match page
- ŁKS Łódź vs Polonia Warszawa — team news & stats
- Stal Rzeszów v Puszcza Niepołomice — match page
- Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów
Before and after this match
Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polonia Bytom | 45.1% | 2.22 | -0.5% | 2.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polonia Bytom | 45.1% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Odra Opole | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.9% |
| No | 55.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polonia Bytom win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 56.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.3% |
Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole stats
Polonia Bytom and Odra Opole recent form
| Polonia Bytom |
LWWWDW |
| Odra Opole |
WLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Polonia Bytom and Odra Opole season so far
Polonia Bytom record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Odra Opole record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Odra Opole | Polonia Bytom | I Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Polonia Bytom | Odra Opole | I Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.7%, draw 26.1%, away 28.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.50 | 3.23 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.50 | 3.16 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 3.71 | 3.27 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 3.19 | 3.16 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .