Chrobry Głogów
vs
Polonia Bytom
2 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | A. Bukowski | ||
| 14′ | K. Wolkowicz | ||
| 33′ | Y. Sharabura | ||
| 35′ | A. Rybak | ||
| 46′ | K. WolkowiczL. Zielinski | ||
| 46′ | K. OrlikK. Michalski | ||
| 56′ | A. MalachowskiK. Wojtyra | ||
| 56′ | D. RuminK. Andrzejczak | ||
| 59′ | A. BukowskiR. Bak | ||
| 59′ | K. GrzelakJ. Lis | ||
| 59′ | A. SadikuW. Staszak | ||
| 71′ | Y. SharaburaK. Ibe-Torti | ||
| 71′ | A. RybakF. Zabrowarny | ||
| 76′ | P. StefanskiC. Pena | ||
| 86′ | K. Tabis |
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom
| Probability | Chrobry Głogów | Draw | Polonia Bytom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.2% | 28.8% | 47.0% |
| Market | 37.0% | 26.4% | 36.6% |
| Final | 33.8% | 27.0% | 39.2% |
| Edge | -3.2% | +0.6% | +2.6% |
Why Polonia Bytom
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Polonia Bytom below our published probability: +2.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chrobry Głogów and Polonia Bytom expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.46
Chrobry Głogów and Polonia Bytom attack and defence ratings
Chrobry Głogów
Polonia Bytom
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom: result vs prediction
Chrobry Głogów 2 – 0 Polonia Bytom
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
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- Górnik Łęczna v GKS Katowice — match page
- Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats
- Piast Gliwice v Gornik Zabrze — match page
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan
- Sokół Kleczew v Podhale Nowy Targ — match page
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Wisla Plock — match page
- Znicz Pruszków v Ruch Chorzów — match page
Before and after this match
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polonia Bytom | 39.2% | 2.55 | +2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chrobry Głogów | 33.8% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Polonia Bytom | 39.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polonia Bytom win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 53.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 11.3% | |
| 0-0 | 9.8% |
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom stats
Chrobry Głogów and Polonia Bytom recent form
| Chrobry Głogów |
DLLLDD |
| Polonia Bytom |
WWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Polonia Bytom | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga | 3-2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Polonia Bytom | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Chrobry Głogów | Polonia Bytom | I Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.0%, draw 26.4%, away 36.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.41 | 3.32 | 2.46 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.55 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.41 | 3.32 | 2.46 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49 | 3.42 | 2.56 |
| SBO | 2.37 | 3.15 | 2.42 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .