Puszcza Niepołomice
vs
Lechia Gdansk
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lechia Gdansk
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk
| Probability | Puszcza Niepołomice | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 25.8% | 39.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.0% | 25.8% | 39.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Lechia Gdansk
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk match preview
Puszcza Niepołomice faces Lechia Gdansk in an I Liga matchup, with the model giving Puszcza a 35% chance of victory, while Lechia is favored at 39%. The probability of a draw stands at 26%. The expected goals are closely matched, with Puszcza at 1.52 and Lechia at 1.62. Recent form shows Puszcza with two wins in their last six matches, while Lechia has won five of their last six.
The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring is estimated at 64%. In their last encounter, Lechia Gdansk secured a win, contributing to their favorable head-to-head record against Puszcza, which has yet to record a victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Puszcza Niepołomice and Lechia Gdansk expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Puszcza Niepołomice and Lechia Gdansk attack and defence ratings
Puszcza Niepołomice
Lechia Gdansk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lechia Gdansk | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 35.0% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Lechia Gdansk | 39.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% |
| No | 36.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lechia Gdansk win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk stats
Puszcza Niepołomice and Lechia Gdansk recent form
| Puszcza Niepołomice |
WLLLWW |
| Lechia Gdansk |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Puszcza Niepołomice and Lechia Gdansk season so far
Puszcza Niepołomice record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lechia Gdansk record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Lechia Gdansk | Poland Cup | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.