Warta Poznań
vs
Unia Skierniewice
1 – 0 Full time
| 3′ | A. Burkiewicz | ||
| 8′ | J. Apolinarski | ||
| 46′ | M. KosiorS. Dudek | ||
| 46′ | B. EizenchartM. Szmyd | ||
| 55′ | A. MlynarczykK. Szymanek | ||
| 63′ | D. MakuchL. Wolsztynski | ||
| 67′ | M. StefaniakJ. Kendzia | ||
| 75′ | K. LysiakA. Najemski | ||
| 75′ | P. KusztalA. Wolczek | ||
| 82′ | A. BurkiewiczK. Toporkiewicz | ||
| 88′ | J. MierzwaJ. Czarnecki | ||
| 89′ | S. Dudek | ||
| 90′ | K. Kalata |
Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice
| Probability | Warta Poznań | Draw | Unia Skierniewice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 25.3% | 24.6% |
| Market | 43.9% | 25.7% | 30.4% |
| Final | 45.5% | 25.6% | 28.9% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -0.1% | -1.5% |
Why Warta Poznań
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Warta Poznań and Unia Skierniewice expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Warta Poznań and Unia Skierniewice attack and defence ratings
Warta Poznań
Unia Skierniewice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice: result vs prediction
Warta Poznań 1 – 0 Unia Skierniewice
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Ruch Chorzów v Odra Opole — match page
- Miedz Legnica v Stal Mielec — match page
- Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów — team news & stats
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa
- ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie — team news & stats
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów
- Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia — team news & stats
- Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice
Before and after this match
Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warta Poznań | 45.5% | 2.20 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warta Poznań | 45.5% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Unia Skierniewice | 28.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% |
| No | 40.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Warta Poznań win | 28.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice stats
Warta Poznań and Unia Skierniewice recent form
| Warta Poznań |
LWWLLW |
| Unia Skierniewice |
DDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Warta Poznań and Unia Skierniewice going into this match
Warta Poznań record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Unia Skierniewice record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Warta Poznań | Unia Skierniewice | II Liga - East | 0-2 |
| 2025-07-27 | Unia Skierniewice | Warta Poznań | II Liga - East | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 25.7%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.54 | 3.04 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.55 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.54 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.77 | 3.16 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 3.26 | 2.76 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .