Warta Poznań
vs
Unia Skierniewice
Garuda Lions Prediction: Warta Poznań
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice
| Probability | Warta Poznań | Draw | Unia Skierniewice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.0% | 25.0% | 21.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.0% | 25.0% | 21.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Warta Poznań
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice match preview
Warta Poznań enters the match against Unia Skierniewice with a 54% probability of winning, while Unia has a 21% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Warta Poznań, occurring with a 10% likelihood. Both teams have a 56% chance of scoring, and the expectation for total goals is set at over 2.5, also at 56%.
In terms of recent form, Warta Poznań has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Unia Skierniewice has drawn once, won twice, and lost three times in the same period. The expected goals for Warta Poznań stand at 1.83, compared to Unia Skierniewice's 1.08, indicating a stronger attacking performance from Warta.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Warta Poznań and Unia Skierniewice expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Warta Poznań and Unia Skierniewice attack and defence ratings
Warta Poznań
Unia Skierniewice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warta Poznań | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warta Poznań | 54.0% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Unia Skierniewice | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% |
| No | 43.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Warta Poznań win | 31.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 46.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.2% |
Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice stats
Warta Poznań and Unia Skierniewice recent form
| Warta Poznań |
WWLLWL |
| Unia Skierniewice |
DWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Warta Poznań and Unia Skierniewice season so far
Warta Poznań record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Unia Skierniewice record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.