Unia Skierniewice
vs
Nieciecza
2 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | W. Jakubik | ||
| 12′ | M. Kozik | ||
| 31′ | B. Bida | ||
| 34′ | I. Durdov | ||
| 46′ | M. KozikA. Zarowny | ||
| 53′ | J. Mierzwa | ||
| 60′ | S. DudekM. Kosior | ||
| 64′ | I. DurdovK. Zapolnik | ||
| 71′ | W. JakubikD. Biniek | ||
| 72′ | D. GaskaK. Toporkiewicz | ||
| 72′ | M. SzmydB. Eizenchart | ||
| 73′ | J. Mierzwa | ||
| 85′ | D. Hilbrycht | ||
| 85′ | A. BurkiewiczO. Melich | ||
| 85′ | D. MakuchJ. Bieronski | ||
| 87′ | M. Stepien | ||
| 87′ | R. BobocO. Slawinski | ||
| 87′ | D. HilbrychtS. Dabrowski |
Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza
| Probability | Unia Skierniewice | Draw | Nieciecza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.1% | 25.0% | 46.9% |
| Market | 37.3% | 25.7% | 37.0% |
| Final | 35.0% | 25.6% | 39.5% |
| Edge | -2.3% | -0.2% | +2.5% |
Why Nieciecza
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.36.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Nieciecza below our published probability: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Unia Skierniewice and Nieciecza expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.17
Unia Skierniewice and Nieciecza attack and defence ratings
Unia Skierniewice
Nieciecza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza: result vs prediction
Unia Skierniewice 2 – 2 Nieciecza
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Podbeskidzie v Pogoń Siedlce — match page
- Arka Gdynia v Polonia Warszawa — match page
- Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — team news & stats
- Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań
- ŁKS Łódź v Ruch Chorzów — match page
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom — team news & stats
- Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica
- Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nieciecza | 39.5% | 2.53 | +2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Unia Skierniewice | 35.0% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Nieciecza | 39.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% |
| No | 36.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nieciecza win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 7.1% |
Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza stats
Unia Skierniewice and Nieciecza recent form
| Unia Skierniewice |
DWLLWL |
| Nieciecza |
WWWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Unia Skierniewice and Nieciecza going into this match
Unia Skierniewice record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Nieciecza record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.3%, draw 25.7%, away 37.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.52 | 2.42 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.50 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.52 | 2.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.51 | 3.73 | 2.61 |
| SBO | 2.41 | 3.26 | 2.33 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .