Arka Gdynia
vs
Polonia Warszawa
1 – 2 Full time
| 17′ | V. Gutkovskis | ||
| 38′ | R. Dadok | ||
| 59′ | A. SidibeF. Walus | ||
| 66′ | N. DziegielewskiD. Kocyla | ||
| 67′ | D. KunS. Lewkot | ||
| 67′ | R. DadokD. Vega | ||
| 75′ | T. MakowskiS. Kowalczyk | ||
| 83′ | G. BarkovskiyK. Kostorz | ||
| 83′ | J. PaszkowskiA. Kapusta | ||
| 88′ | K. Kostorz | ||
| 88′ | V. GutkovskisB. Pawlowski | ||
| 88′ | K. SoleckiJ. Kowalski |
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa
| Probability | Arka Gdynia | Draw | Polonia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 27.7% | 38.2% |
| Market | 41.4% | 27.0% | 31.6% |
| Final | 39.6% | 27.2% | 33.2% |
| Edge | -1.8% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arka Gdynia and Polonia Warszawa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Arka Gdynia and Polonia Warszawa attack and defence ratings
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Warszawa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa: result vs prediction
Arka Gdynia 1 – 2 Polonia Warszawa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — team news & stats
- Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza
- Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań
- ŁKS Łódź v Ruch Chorzów — match page
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom — team news & stats
- Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica
- Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arka Gdynia | 39.6% | 2.53 | -1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arka Gdynia | 39.6% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Polonia Warszawa | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arka Gdynia win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 65.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa stats
Arka Gdynia and Polonia Warszawa recent form
| Arka Gdynia |
LLDWDL |
| Polonia Warszawa |
WDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arka Gdynia and Polonia Warszawa going into this match
Arka Gdynia record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Polonia Warszawa record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | Arka Gdynia | Polonia Warszawa | I Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-03 | Polonia Warszawa | Arka Gdynia | I Liga | 0-3 |
| 2024-02-17 | Polonia Warszawa | Arka Gdynia | I Liga | 0-3 |
| 2023-08-07 | Arka Gdynia | Polonia Warszawa | I Liga | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 27.0%, away 31.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.32 | 2.87 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.32 | 2.80 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| SBO | 2.19 | 3.08 | 2.71 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .