I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom

0 – 1 Full time

35′F. Szabaciuk
37′D. Konieczny
40′M. Cholewiak
49′K. Stepien
65′A. TrubehaO. Gerstenstein
78′M. CholewiakO. Korczakowski
78′A. GjoniB. Kurzeja
80′K. OrlikP. Stefanski
80′K. WojtyraD. Rumin
83′D. Rumin
84′F. NascimentoI. Pieprzyca
90′L. ZielinskiK. Michalski
90′M. LabojkoA. Malachowski

Referee: P. Idzik

Puszcza Niepołomice 38%
Draw 27%
Polonia Bytom 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPuszcza NiepołomiceDrawPolonia Bytom
Model41.5%27.3%31.3%
Market37.1%26.9%36.0%
Final38.2%27.0%34.8%
Edge+1.1%+0.1%-1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Puszcza Niepołomice

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Puszcza Niepoł ↓ / Polonia Bytom → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 6% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Puszcza Niepołomice and Polonia Bytom expected goals

Puszcza Niepołomice 1.53
Polonia Bytom 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.84

Puszcza Niepołomice and Polonia Bytom attack and defence ratings

Puszcza Niepołomice

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Polonia Bytom

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom: result vs prediction

Puszcza Niepołomice 0 – 1 Polonia Bytom

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Puszcza Niepołomice 38.2% 2.62 +1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.9% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.6% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Puszcza Niepołomice38.2%
Draw27.0%
Polonia Bytom34.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.9%
Under 2.546.1%
Both teams to scoreYes58.3%
No41.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.2%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)61.8%
Handicap -1Puszcza Niepołomice win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss58.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
2-19.0%
1-07.8%

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom stats

Puszcza Niepołomice and Polonia Bytom recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Puszcza Niepołomice and Polonia Bytom going into this match

league record before kick-off

Puszcza Niepołomice record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Polonia Bytom record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Puszcza Niepołomice wins 2Draws 0Polonia Bytom wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Puszcza NiepołomicePolonia BytomI Liga2-1
2025-10-04Polonia BytomPuszcza NiepołomiceI Liga1-1
2024-07-06Puszcza NiepołomicePolonia BytomFriendlies Clubs1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.1%, draw 26.9%, away 36.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.35 3.42 2.50
Bet365 2.45 3.20 2.50
BetVictor 2.50 3.30 2.55
Betano 2.50 3.35 2.62
Betfair 2.38 3.50 2.55
Dafabet 2.55 3.40 2.60
Marathonbet 2.35 3.42 2.50
Pinnacle 2.52 3.70 2.61
SBO 2.43 3.02 2.46
William Hill 2.45 3.20 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▼ -0.06
X 3.38 ▼ -0.15
2 2.52 ▲ +0.07

13 snapshots recorded, from .