Warta Poznań
vs
Puszcza Niepołomice
3 – 2 Full time
| 7′ | M. Stefaniak | ||
| 12′ | A. Trubeha | ||
| 35′ | A. TrubehaW. Kaminski | ||
| 40′ | K. Przybylko | ||
| 45′ | K. Szymanek | ||
| 45′ | K. Przybylko | ||
| 61′ | B. LelitoK. Lepczynski | ||
| 61′ | P. KusztalA. Wolczek | ||
| 62′ | O. KorczakowskiK. Iwao | ||
| 78′ | M. CholewiakO. Gerstenstein | ||
| 78′ | F. NascimentoO. Kocar | ||
| 86′ | K. Kasolik | ||
| 87′ | K. Kasolik | ||
| 87′ | K. Kasolik | ||
| 89′ | J. Apolinarski |
Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice
| Probability | Warta Poznań | Draw | Puszcza Niepołomice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 31.9% | 27.0% |
| Market | 44.2% | 26.5% | 29.3% |
| Final | 43.4% | 27.9% | 28.7% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +5.4% | -2.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Warta Poznań and Puszcza Niepołomice expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Warta Poznań and Puszcza Niepołomice attack and defence ratings
Warta Poznań
Puszcza Niepołomice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice: result vs prediction
Warta Poznań 3 – 2 Puszcza Niepołomice
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warta Poznań | 43.4% | 2.30 | -3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warta Poznań | 43.4% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Warta Poznań win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-0 | 12.9% |
Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice stats
Warta Poznań and Puszcza Niepołomice recent form
| Warta Poznań |
WLLWLW |
| Puszcza Niepołomice |
LWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Warta Poznań and Puszcza Niepołomice going into this match
Warta Poznań record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Puszcza Niepołomice record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-12 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-10 | Warta Poznań | Puszcza Niepołomice | Ekstraklasa | 0-2 |
| 2020-07-04 | Warta Poznań | Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga | 1-2 |
| 2019-10-22 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Warta Poznań | I Liga | 0-2 |
| 2018-12-01 | Warta Poznań | Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga | 2-0 |
| 2018-08-11 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Warta Poznań | I Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 26.5%, away 29.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.42 | 3.11 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.42 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.75 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 3.15 | 2.92 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .