Warta Poznań
vs
Arka Gdynia
3 – 0 Full time
| 41′ | A. Mlynarczyk | ||
| 46′ | M. MilewskiN. Dziegielewski | ||
| 46′ | B. PawlowskiF. Walus | ||
| 60′ | A. MlynarczykK. Szymanek | ||
| 61′ | M. StefaniakD. Avdeev | ||
| 63′ | E. RamaV. Gutkovskis | ||
| 63′ | E. DemirovicD. Kun | ||
| 67′ | K. Szymanek | ||
| 69′ | N. Dziegielewski | ||
| 72′ | K. Solecki | ||
| 77′ | M. StanekM. Smoczynski | ||
| 77′ | P. KusztalA. Wolczek | ||
| 85′ | J. ApolinarskiJ. Kendzia | ||
| 86′ | K. SoleckiJ. Kowalski | ||
| 89′ | J. Niedzielski | ||
| 90′ | A. Wolczek |
Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia
| Probability | Warta Poznań | Draw | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.4% | 30.0% | 38.6% |
| Market | 35.8% | 26.9% | 37.3% |
| Final | 34.7% | 27.7% | 37.6% |
| Edge | -4.5% | +3.2% | +1.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Warta Poznań and Arka Gdynia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Warta Poznań and Arka Gdynia attack and defence ratings
Warta Poznań
Arka Gdynia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia: result vs prediction
Warta Poznań 3 – 0 Arka Gdynia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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Before and after this match
Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arka Gdynia | 37.6% | 2.66 | +1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Warta Poznań | 34.7% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Arka Gdynia | 37.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arka Gdynia win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-1 | 10.1% |
Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia stats
Warta Poznań and Arka Gdynia recent form
| Warta Poznań |
LLWLWL |
| Arka Gdynia |
DWDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Warta Poznań and Arka Gdynia going into this match
Warta Poznań record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Arka Gdynia record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-08 | Arka Gdynia | Warta Poznań | I Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Arka Gdynia | Warta Poznań | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Warta Poznań | Arka Gdynia | I Liga | 0-1 |
| 2022-01-15 | Warta Poznań | Arka Gdynia | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 26.9%, away 37.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.51 | 3.42 | 2.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.45 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.55 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.51 | 3.42 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60 | 3.76 | 2.50 |
| SBO | 2.49 | 3.12 | 2.46 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 3.35 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .