Pogoń Siedlce
vs
Arka Gdynia
2 – 1 Full time
| 39′ | M. Rosolek | ||
| 42′ | S. Kobusinski | ||
| 44′ | K. Gruszkowski | ||
| 45′ | M. KomendaM. Ambrosiewicz | ||
| 46′ | J. KowalskiK. Solecki | ||
| 51′ | K. Gruszkowski | ||
| 71′ | S. Kobusinski | ||
| 72′ | V. GutkovskisE. Rama | ||
| 72′ | K. GruszkowskiM. Milewski | ||
| 77′ | M. MarzecR. Makowski | ||
| 77′ | C. DemianiukN. Zielonka | ||
| 83′ | N. DziegielewskiP. Krefft | ||
| 87′ | S. KobusinskiS. Szczytniewski | ||
| 90′ | S. Lewkot | ||
| 90′ | M. RosolekP. Klimek |
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia
| Probability | Pogoń Siedlce | Draw | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.2% | 30.6% | 29.3% |
| Market | 25.2% | 27.3% | 47.5% |
| Final | 28.9% | 28.1% | 42.9% |
| Edge | +15.0% | +3.3% | -18.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pogoń Siedlce and Arka Gdynia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Pogoń Siedlce and Arka Gdynia attack and defence ratings
Pogoń Siedlce
Arka Gdynia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia: result vs prediction
Pogoń Siedlce 2 – 1 Arka Gdynia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice — team news & stats
- Polonia Bytom v Ruch Chorzów — match page
- Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec — team news & stats
- Nieciecza vs Odra Opole
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź — team news & stats
- Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów
- Miedz Legnica v Stal Rzeszów — match page
- Podbeskidzie v Unia Skierniewice — match page
Before and after this match
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arka Gdynia | 42.9% | 2.33 | -18.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pogoń Siedlce | 28.9% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Arka Gdynia | 42.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.2% |
| No | 51.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arka Gdynia win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 70.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.1% |
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia stats
Pogoń Siedlce and Arka Gdynia recent form
| Pogoń Siedlce |
DWWLWD |
| Arka Gdynia |
LDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pogoń Siedlce and Arka Gdynia going into this match
Pogoń Siedlce record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Arka Gdynia record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | Pogoń Siedlce | Arka Gdynia | I Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-20 | Arka Gdynia | Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.2%, draw 27.3%, away 47.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.62 | 3.32 | 1.89 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
| Betano | 3.65 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 3.54 | 3.32 | 1.87 |
| Pinnacle | 3.76 | 3.61 | 1.96 |
| SBO | 3.39 | 3.09 | 1.96 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .