I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszów

2 – 3 Full time

14′Z. Petrovic
21′S. Salamon
23′S. Goss
26′M. Mazur
45′S. Pukala
46′M. MazurG. Norlin
59′I. MaliszewskiO. Olewinski
59′D. StanclikM. Mansfeld
61′W. BrzekO. Madej
61′M. LeniartM. Listkowski
67′J. LetniowskiK. Fucak
68′S. SalamonE. Wisniowski
69′M. Mansfeld
74′I. KorczakowskiJ. Serafin
77′S. PukalaA. Naifi
86′M. Listkowski

Referee: S. Krasny

Miedz Legnica 53%
Draw 25%
Stal Rzeszów 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszów overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszów

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMiedz LegnicaDrawStal Rzeszów
Model46.4%30.3%23.3%
Market55.2%23.2%21.6%
Final53.0%25.0%22.0%
Edge-8.8%+7.1%+1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Miedz Legnica

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.89.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Miedz Legnica ↓ / Stal Rzeszów → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Miedz Legnica and Stal Rzeszów expected goals

Miedz Legnica 1.36
Stal Rzeszów 0.89

Total expected goals: 2.25

Miedz Legnica and Stal Rzeszów attack and defence ratings

Miedz Legnica

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Stal Rzeszów

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszów: result vs prediction

Miedz Legnica 2 – 3 Stal Rzeszów

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszów markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Miedz Legnica 53.0% 1.89 -8.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.6% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Miedz Legnica53.0%
Draw25.0%
Stal Rzeszów22.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.1%
Under 2.560.9%
Both teams to scoreYes45.1%
No54.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.0%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)47.0%
Handicap -1Miedz Legnica win22.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss53.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-013.0%
0-011.8%

Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszów stats

Miedz Legnica and Stal Rzeszów recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Miedz Legnica and Stal Rzeszów going into this match

league record before kick-off

Miedz Legnica record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Stal Rzeszów record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszów head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

4Miedz Legnica wins 1Draws 1Stal Rzeszów wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07Miedz LegnicaStal RzeszówI Liga2-1
2025-08-23Stal RzeszówMiedz LegnicaI Liga1-2
2025-02-15Miedz LegnicaStal RzeszówI Liga3-3
2024-08-04Stal RzeszówMiedz LegnicaI Liga1-0
2024-03-01Stal RzeszówMiedz LegnicaI Liga1-3
2023-08-20Miedz LegnicaStal RzeszówI Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszów odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.4%, draw 23.1%, away 21.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.63 3.90 4.24
Bet365 1.62 3.80 4.20
BetVictor 1.65 4.00 4.20
Betano 1.67 3.95 4.40
Betfair 1.60 4.00 4.33
Marathonbet 1.61 3.90 4.15
Pinnacle 1.67 4.27 4.52
SBO 1.56 3.65 4.00
William Hill 1.67 3.80 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.64 ▲ +0.04
X 3.90 ▼ -0.20
2 4.20 ▼ -0.33

12 snapshots recorded, from .