I Liga · ·Matchday 10

Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica

Garuda Lions Prediction: Odra Opole

1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability

Itaka Arena, Opole

Odra Opole 37%
Draw 29%
Miedz Legnica 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Odra Opole wins
37%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
84%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
40%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOdra OpoleDrawMiedz Legnica
Model32.2%34.1%33.8%
Market38.1%27.5%34.4%
Final36.6%29.2%34.2%
Edge-5.9%+6.5%-0.6%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica match preview

Odra Opole faces Miedz Legnica in an I Liga matchup on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 37% probability of an Odra Opole victory, while Miedz Legnica has a 34% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Odra Opole, with a 12% probability. Both teams have shown moderate scoring potential, with expected goals of 0.96 for Odra Opole and 0.99 for Miedz Legnica.

In terms of recent form, Odra Opole has recorded two losses, followed by three draws and one win, while Miedz Legnica's last six matches include two losses, one draw, and two wins. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters shows each team has one win. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting a level of uncertainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Odra Opole ↓ / Miedz Legnica → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 13% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 16%

Odra Opole and Miedz Legnica expected goals

Odra Opole 0.96
Miedz Legnica 0.99

Total expected goals: 1.95

Odra Opole and Miedz Legnica attack and defence ratings

Odra Opole

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Miedz Legnica

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Odra Opole 36.6% 2.73 -5.9% 2.45
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.1% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score No 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.8% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.8% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Odra Opole36.6%
Draw29.2%
Miedz Legnica34.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.9%
Under 2.569.1%
Both teams to scoreYes40.1%
No59.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.8%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1Odra Opole win12.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss67.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.6%
1-114.9%
0-112.8%

Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica stats

Odra Opole and Miedz Legnica recent form

newest first
Odra Opole LLDWDD
Miedz Legnica LLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Odra Opole and Miedz Legnica season so far

league record

Odra Opole record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Miedz Legnica record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Odra Opole wins 0Draws 1Miedz Legnica wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-06Miedz LegnicaOdra OpoleI Liga2-1
2025-07-28Odra OpoleMiedz LegnicaI Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 27.5%, away 34.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.31 3.24 2.65
Bet365 2.45 3.20 2.60
BetVictor 2.38 3.40 2.63
Betano 2.42 3.35 2.72
Betfair 2.30 3.40 2.63
Dafabet 2.42 3.40 2.70
Marathonbet 2.31 3.24 2.65
Pinnacle 2.43 3.40 2.78
SBO 2.27 3.02 2.51
William Hill 2.38 3.10 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.38 ▲ +0.04
X 3.29 ▼ -0.10
2 2.64 ▼ -0.04

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Odra Opole Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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