ŁKS Łódź
vs
Ruch Chorzów
Garuda Lions Prediction: ŁKS Łódź
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów
| Probability | ŁKS Łódź | Draw | Ruch Chorzów |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.5% | 31.3% | 32.2% |
| Market | 38.3% | 27.4% | 34.3% |
| Final | 37.8% | 28.4% | 33.8% |
| Edge | -1.7% | +3.9% | -2.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.44, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów match preview
In the upcoming I Liga match, ŁKS Łódź will face Ruch Chorzów on October 11, 2026. The probabilities indicate a close contest, with ŁKS Łódź at 37%, Ruch Chorzów at 32%, and a draw at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of ŁKS Łódź, with an 11% chance. Expected goals are slightly in favor of ŁKS Łódź at 1.17 compared to Ruch Chorzów's 1.09.
Recent form shows ŁKS Łódź with mixed results, recording one win in their last six matches, while Ruch Chorzów has performed better with three wins in their last six. In their last two encounters, ŁKS Łódź has not secured a victory, with Ruch Chorzów winning once and the teams drawing once. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting the close probabilities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ŁKS Łódź and Ruch Chorzów expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
ŁKS Łódź and Ruch Chorzów attack and defence ratings
ŁKS Łódź
Ruch Chorzów
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Podbeskidzie v Pogoń Siedlce — match page
- Arka Gdynia v Polonia Warszawa — match page
- Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — team news & stats
- Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza
- Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom — team news & stats
- Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica
- Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk — team news & stats
Before and after this match
ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ŁKS Łódź | 37.8% | 2.64 | -1.7% | 2.44 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ŁKS Łódź | 37.8% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Ruch Chorzów | 33.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | ŁKS Łódź win | 16.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 63.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów stats
ŁKS Łódź and Ruch Chorzów recent form
| ŁKS Łódź |
LWDLDW |
| Ruch Chorzów |
DDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ŁKS Łódź and Ruch Chorzów season so far
ŁKS Łódź record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ruch Chorzów record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | ŁKS Łódź | Ruch Chorzów | I Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | Ruch Chorzów | ŁKS Łódź | I Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 27.4%, away 34.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.37 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44 | 3.38 | 2.78 |
| SBO | 2.22 | 3.04 | 2.56 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .