I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów

0 – 0 Full time

3′A. Coscia
41′K. Orlik
46′M. RosolS. Nagamatsu
65′P. StefanskiK. Michalski
70′P. SzwedzikK. Laskowski
75′K. OrlikM. Wziech
80′A. CosciaM. Pawlowski
80′K. RostekT. Sutherland
83′L. ZielinskiG. Szymusik
89′S. Nagamatsu

Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8, BytomReferee: W. Myc

Polonia Bytom 34%
Draw 26%
Ruch Chorzów 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPolonia BytomDrawRuch Chorzów
Model33.5%24.0%42.5%
Market33.9%27.1%38.9%
Final33.8%26.3%39.8%
Edge-0.4%-3.2%+3.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Ruch Chorzów

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Ruch Chorzów below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Polonia Bytom ↓ / Ruch Chorzów → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 10% 9% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Polonia Bytom and Ruch Chorzów expected goals

Polonia Bytom 1.64
Ruch Chorzów 1.86

Total expected goals: 3.50

Polonia Bytom and Ruch Chorzów attack and defence ratings

Polonia Bytom

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Ruch Chorzów

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów: result vs prediction

Polonia Bytom 0 – 0 Ruch Chorzów

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ruch Chorzów 39.8% 2.51 +3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.0% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.1% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Polonia Bytom33.8%
Draw26.3%
Ruch Chorzów39.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.0%
Under 2.532.0%
Both teams to scoreYes69.1%
No30.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.2%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)66.2%
Handicap -1Ruch Chorzów win23.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.1%
1-28.6%
2-17.6%

Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów stats

Polonia Bytom and Ruch Chorzów recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Polonia Bytom and Ruch Chorzów going into this match

league record before kick-off

Polonia Bytom record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.

Ruch Chorzów record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

0Polonia Bytom wins 3Draws 5Ruch Chorzów wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Polonia BytomRuch ChorzówI Liga0-1
2026-01-21Polonia BytomRuch ChorzówFriendlies Clubs0-4
2025-08-24Ruch ChorzówPolonia BytomI Liga1-1
2025-01-17Polonia BytomRuch ChorzówFriendlies Clubs1-2
2024-01-17Polonia BytomRuch ChorzówFriendlies Clubs1-1
2023-01-14Polonia BytomRuch ChorzówFriendlies Clubs1-3
2021-04-24Ruch ChorzówPolonia BytomIII Liga - Group 32-1
2020-09-13Polonia BytomRuch ChorzówIII Liga - Group 31-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.9%, draw 27.1%, away 38.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.64 3.28 2.30
Bet365 2.70 3.30 2.30
BetVictor 2.63 3.40 2.38
Betano 2.87 3.35 2.30
Betfair 2.63 3.50 2.30
Marathonbet 2.64 3.28 2.30
Pinnacle 2.80 3.54 2.44
SBO 2.56 3.23 2.33
William Hill 2.62 3.20 2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.64 ▲ +0.15
X 3.30 ▼ -0.06
2 2.30 ▼ -0.15

12 snapshots recorded, from .