Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Widzew II vs Polonia Bytom

1 – 2 Full time

2′B. Mioc
22′A. Knapek
47′S. Kadziolka
59′K. WojtyraM. Wziech
59′B. MiocK. Orlik
66′K. Orlik
67′M. CzerniatowiczJ. Glab
69′L. ZielinskiP. Stefanski
69′S. KadziolkaD. Konieczny
70′S. Zieleniecki
72′M. LabojkoA. Malachowski
73′M. HanousekJ. Dryzner
84′D. GryzioN. Stachowicz
84′M. KozlowskiM. Kopko
90′P. Stefanski
90′Polonia Bytom

MKS Lodzianka, Lodz

Widzew II 24%
Draw 24%
Polonia Bytom 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Widzew II vs Polonia Bytom overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Widzew II vs Polonia Bytom

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWidzew IIDrawPolonia Bytom
Model41.9%23.5%34.6%
Market18.4%23.6%58.0%
Final24.3%23.6%52.2%
Edge+23.5%-0.1%-23.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Widzew II ↓ / Polonia Bytom → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Widzew II and Polonia Bytom expected goals

Widzew II 1.91
Polonia Bytom 1.73

Total expected goals: 3.64

Widzew II and Polonia Bytom attack and defence ratings

Widzew II

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Polonia Bytom

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Widzew II vs Polonia Bytom: result vs prediction

Widzew II 1 – 2 Polonia Bytom

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Widzew II vs Polonia Bytom markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Polonia Bytom 52.2% 1.92 -23.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.4% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.9% 1.41 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.4% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Widzew II24.3%
Draw23.6%
Polonia Bytom52.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.4%
Under 2.529.6%
Both teams to scoreYes70.9%
No29.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.8%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)75.7%
Handicap -1Polonia Bytom win18.0%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss65.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
2-18.3%
1-27.5%

Widzew II vs Polonia Bytom stats

Widzew II and Polonia Bytom recent form

newest first
Widzew II no matches on record
Polonia Bytom DDDDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Widzew II vs Polonia Bytom head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Widzew II vs Polonia Bytom odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.4%, draw 23.6%, away 58.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.92 3.72 1.57
Bet365 5.75 4.00 1.44
BetVictor 5.25 4.00 1.53
Betano 4.85 3.90 1.55
Betfair 5.00 4.00 1.53
Marathonbet 4.80 3.72 1.55
Pinnacle 3.92 3.54 1.62
William Hill 4.60 3.50 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.88 ▲ +0.60
X 3.81 ▲ +0.13
2 1.55 ▼ -0.11

25 snapshots recorded, from .