I Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Lechia Gdansk
vs
Stal Mielec
7 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | A. Shakh | ||
| 15′ | M. Wyparlo | ||
| 23′ | A. Shakh | ||
| 28′ | S. Oure | ||
| 43′ | T. Neugebauer | ||
| 45′ | S. Kopasek | ||
| 46′ | P. KruszelnickiP. Tupaj | ||
| 46′ | B. KukulowiczK. Cybulski | ||
| 49′ | A. Shakh | ||
| 59′ | T. WojtowiczJ. Mena | ||
| 63′ | H. Ivanov | ||
| 64′ | F. GerbowskiN. Niedzwiedz | ||
| 64′ | M. DomanskiT. Gmur | ||
| 64′ | K. KoscielnyP. Prajsnar | ||
| 66′ | K. Dodaj | ||
| 71′ | T. NeugebauerB. Szczepankiewicz | ||
| 71′ | A. ShakhJ. Adkonis | ||
| 75′ | V. Blanuta | ||
| 78′ | H. Matynia | ||
| 79′ | K. DodajI. Bambecki | ||
| 79′ | V. BlanutaB. Sonko | ||
| 84′ | N. Niedzwiedz | ||
| 90′ | B. Sonko |
Lechia Gdansk
46%
Draw
25%
Stal Mielec
29%
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec
| Probability | Lechia Gdansk | Draw | Stal Mielec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.8% | 23.2% | 35.0% |
| Market | 47.5% | 25.0% | 27.5% |
| Final | 46.0% | 24.6% | 29.4% |
| Edge | -5.7% | -1.8% | +7.5% |
Why Lechia Gdansk
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
71%
No goals
3%
Lechia Gdansk and Stal Mielec expected goals
Lechia Gdansk
1.93
Stal Mielec
1.76
Total expected goals: 3.70
Lechia Gdansk and Stal Mielec attack and defence ratings
Lechia Gdansk
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Stal Mielec
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec: result vs prediction
Lechia Gdansk 7 – 1 Stal Mielec
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice — team news & stats
- Polonia Bytom v Ruch Chorzów — match page
- Nieciecza vs Odra Opole
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź — team news & stats
- Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów
- Miedz Legnica v Stal Rzeszów — match page
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia
- Podbeskidzie v Unia Skierniewice — match page
Before and after this match
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lechia Gdansk | 46.0% | 2.17 | -5.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lechia Gdansk | 46.0% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Stal Mielec | 29.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.7% |
| No | 28.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lechia Gdansk win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec stats
Lechia Gdansk and Stal Mielec recent form
| Lechia Gdansk |
WLWWWL |
| Stal Mielec |
LDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lechia Gdansk and Stal Mielec going into this match
Lechia Gdansk record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stal Mielec record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
5Lechia Gdansk wins
2Draws
1Stal Mielec wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-14 | Lechia Gdansk | Stal Mielec | Ekstraklasa | 3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Stal Mielec | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-14 | Stal Mielec | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-30 | Lechia Gdansk | Stal Mielec | Ekstraklasa | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-08 | Lechia Gdansk | Stal Mielec | Ekstraklasa | 3-2 |
| 2021-11-20 | Stal Mielec | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 3-3 |
| 2021-02-27 | Stal Mielec | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-19 | Lechia Gdansk | Stal Mielec | Ekstraklasa | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 25.0%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.62 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.62 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.91 | 3.56 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 3.19 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.91 ▼ -0.09
X
3.62 ▲ +0.04
2
3.30 ▲ +0.17
9 snapshots recorded, from .