Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
vs
ŁKS Łódź
2 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | R. Majewski | ||
| 46′ | L. SzczygielA. Arasa | ||
| 46′ | M. BlachewiczS. Karasinski | ||
| 46′ | J. KeiblingerD. Sokol | ||
| 53′ | K. Glogowski | ||
| 57′ | A. Craciun | ||
| 61′ | B. Ciepiela | ||
| 62′ | K. Hinokio | ||
| 69′ | B. Ciepiela | ||
| 71′ | K. HinokioM. Wysokinski | ||
| 71′ | M. KaputK. Nowakowski | ||
| 77′ | J. KonstantynK. Kargulewicz | ||
| 77′ | R. MajewskiD. Jaron | ||
| 83′ | B. CiepielaM. Ruszkiewicz | ||
| 90′ | D. Sokol | ||
| 90′ | J. ZbrogO. Koprowski | ||
| 90′ | A. OshafiH. Turski |
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź
| Probability | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Draw | ŁKS Łódź |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.1% | 28.7% | 44.2% |
| Market | 28.9% | 27.7% | 43.4% |
| Final | 28.5% | 27.9% | 43.6% |
| Edge | -1.8% | +1.0% | +0.8% |
Why ŁKS Łódź
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and ŁKS Łódź expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and ŁKS Łódź attack and defence ratings
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ŁKS Łódź
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź: result vs prediction
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2 – 0 ŁKS Łódź
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice — team news & stats
- Polonia Bytom v Ruch Chorzów — match page
- Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec — team news & stats
- Nieciecza vs Odra Opole
- Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów
- Miedz Legnica v Stal Rzeszów — match page
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia
- Podbeskidzie v Unia Skierniewice — match page
Before and after this match
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ŁKS Łódź | 43.6% | 2.30 | +0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 28.5% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| ŁKS Łódź | 43.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | ŁKS Łódź win | 22.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 10.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.1% |
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź stats
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and ŁKS Łódź recent form
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki |
LWLDDD |
| ŁKS Łódź |
WDLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and ŁKS Łódź going into this match
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
ŁKS Łódź record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | ŁKS Łódź | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | I Liga | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-29 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | ŁKS Łódź | I Liga | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.9%, draw 27.7%, away 43.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.18 | 3.24 | 2.07 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.35 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.10 | 3.24 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.28 | 3.47 | 2.19 |
| SBO | 2.95 | 3.08 | 1.97 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .