Chrobry Głogów
vs
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0 – 4 Full time
| 14′ | A. Oshafi | ||
| 36′ | B. Ciepiela | ||
| 43′ | K. Los | ||
| 46′ | K. TabisB. Czajka | ||
| 46′ | R. BakA. Bukowski | ||
| 62′ | A. OshafiD. Jaron | ||
| 62′ | R. MajewskiH. Turski | ||
| 62′ | A. KlimekA. Sadiku | ||
| 69′ | D. Jaron | ||
| 72′ | K. Ibe-TortiM. Ozimek | ||
| 75′ | B. CiepielaM. Ruszkiewicz | ||
| 75′ | J. ZbrogN. Niski | ||
| 80′ | J. KonstantynO. Koprowski | ||
| 80′ | K. GrzelakA. Rybak | ||
| 83′ | D. Jaron |
Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
| Probability | Chrobry Głogów | Draw | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.4% | 32.6% | 30.0% |
| Market | 42.3% | 27.5% | 30.2% |
| Final | 41.1% | 28.7% | 30.2% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +1.3% | -0.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.09
Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki attack and defence ratings
Chrobry Głogów
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: result vs prediction
Chrobry Głogów 0 – 4 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Podbeskidzie v Pogoń Siedlce — match page
- Arka Gdynia v Polonia Warszawa — match page
- Unia Skierniewice vs Nieciecza
- Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań
- ŁKS Łódź v Ruch Chorzów — match page
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom — team news & stats
- Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica
- Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chrobry Głogów | 41.1% | 2.43 | -1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chrobry Głogów | 41.1% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 30.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.3% |
| No | 56.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chrobry Głogów win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 62.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.7% | |
| 1-0 | 12.4% |
Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki stats
Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki recent form
| Chrobry Głogów |
LDDWWL |
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki |
WLWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki going into this match
Chrobry Głogów record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Chrobry Głogów | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | I Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.3%, draw 27.5%, away 30.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.28 | 3.02 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.21 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.28 | 2.95 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.52 | 3.19 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.13 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .