I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów

3 – 2 Full time

7′L. Zielinski
22′K. Andrzejczak
31′B. Mioc
43′K. Wojtyra
46′A. KlimekA. Sadiku
46′F. LachendroA. Rybak
60′L. ZielinskiP. Stefanski
60′K. WojtyraD. Rumin
64′Y. SharaburaM. Ozimek
65′J. Gric
74′J. Gric
74′B. MiocD. Konieczny
82′M. LabojkoM. Wolski
82′G. SzymusikA. Malachowski
82′R. BakK. Ibe-Torti
88′M. BartolewskiF. Zabrowarny
90′P. Stefanski

Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8Referee: S. Lezny

Polonia Bytom 48%
Draw 27%
Chrobry Głogów 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPolonia BytomDrawChrobry Głogów
Model46.6%29.1%24.3%
Market48.6%26.0%25.3%
Final48.1%26.8%25.1%
Edge-2.0%+3.1%-1.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Polonia Bytom

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.98.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Polonia Bytom ↓ / Chrobry Głogów → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Polonia Bytom and Chrobry Głogów expected goals

Polonia Bytom 1.44
Chrobry Głogów 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.42

Polonia Bytom and Chrobry Głogów attack and defence ratings

Polonia Bytom

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Chrobry Głogów

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów: result vs prediction

Polonia Bytom 3 – 2 Chrobry Głogów

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Polonia Bytom 48.1% 2.08 -2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.4% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score No 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Polonia Bytom48.1%
Draw26.8%
Chrobry Głogów25.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.6%
Under 2.556.4%
Both teams to scoreYes48.9%
No51.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.9%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)51.9%
Handicap -1Polonia Bytom win23.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-011.6%
0-010.1%

Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów stats

Polonia Bytom and Chrobry Głogów recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Polonia Bytom and Chrobry Głogów going into this match

league record before kick-off

Polonia Bytom record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Chrobry Głogów record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
  • 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Polonia Bytom wins 0Draws 0Chrobry Głogów wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-07Polonia BytomChrobry GłogówI Liga2-0
2025-07-26Chrobry GłogówPolonia BytomI Liga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.5%, draw 26.0%, away 25.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.85 3.45 3.62
Bet365 1.83 3.50 3.50
BetVictor 1.87 3.50 3.60
Betano 1.90 3.55 3.70
Betfair 1.85 3.60 3.60
Dafabet 1.94 3.65 3.55
Marathonbet 1.83 3.45 3.54
Pinnacle 1.92 3.69 3.86
SBO 1.88 3.07 3.21
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.86 ▼ -0.03
X 3.48 ▼ -0.02
2 3.57 ▼ -0.08

10 snapshots recorded, from .