I Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Polonia Warszawa
vs
Chrobry Głogów
2 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | W. Staszak | ||
| 46′ | K. Ibe-TortiR. Bak | ||
| 59′ | M. Kozajda | ||
| 62′ | D. Gnaase | ||
| 69′ | K. GrzelakA. Rybak | ||
| 69′ | A. SadikuA. Bukowski | ||
| 71′ | I. DurmusD. Vega | ||
| 71′ | J. PaszkowskiA. Kapusta | ||
| 77′ | B. Czajka | ||
| 78′ | S. KowalczykE. Terpilowski | ||
| 81′ | M. OzimekY. Sharabura | ||
| 86′ | J. Gric | ||
| 87′ | A. Bukowski | ||
| 88′ | J. LisA. Klimek | ||
| 90′ | G. BarkovskiyK. Kostorz |
Polonia Warszawa
45%
Draw
27%
Chrobry Głogów
28%
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów
| Probability | Polonia Warszawa | Draw | Chrobry Głogów |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.3% | 31.0% | 36.7% |
| Market | 49.1% | 26.3% | 24.6% |
| Final | 44.9% | 27.5% | 27.6% |
| Edge | -16.9% | +4.7% | +12.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Polonia Warszawa and Chrobry Głogów expected goals
Polonia Warszawa
1.11
Chrobry Głogów
1.18
Total expected goals: 2.29
Polonia Warszawa and Chrobry Głogów attack and defence ratings
Polonia Warszawa
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Chrobry Głogów
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
0.67 -33%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów: result vs prediction
Polonia Warszawa 2 – 0 Chrobry Głogów
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice — team news & stats
- Polonia Bytom v Ruch Chorzów — match page
- Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec — team news & stats
- Nieciecza vs Odra Opole
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź — team news & stats
- Miedz Legnica v Stal Rzeszów — match page
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia
- Podbeskidzie v Unia Skierniewice — match page
Before and after this match
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polonia Warszawa | 44.9% | 2.23 | -16.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polonia Warszawa | 44.9% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Chrobry Głogów | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polonia Warszawa win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 67.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.4% | |
| 0-1 | 10.7% |
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów stats
Polonia Warszawa and Chrobry Głogów recent form
| Polonia Warszawa |
DLWLWL |
| Chrobry Głogów |
DDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Polonia Warszawa and Chrobry Głogów going into this match
Polonia Warszawa record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chrobry Głogów record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
5Polonia Warszawa wins
1Draws
2Chrobry Głogów wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Polonia Warszawa | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Chrobry Głogów | Polonia Warszawa | I Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Polonia Warszawa | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga | 4-2 |
| 2024-09-25 | Chrobry Głogów | Polonia Warszawa | Cup | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-30 | Chrobry Głogów | Polonia Warszawa | I Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-03 | Polonia Warszawa | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-17 | Polonia Warszawa | Chrobry Głogów | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2023-08-19 | Chrobry Głogów | Polonia Warszawa | I Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.1%, draw 26.3%, away 24.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.44 | 3.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.44 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.74 | 3.79 |
| SBO | 1.81 | 3.12 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.84 ▲ +0.05
X
3.44 ▼ -0.11
2
3.68 ▼ -0.25
13 snapshots recorded, from .