I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce

0 – 0 Full time

46′J. LisM. Ozimek
47′S. Strozik
57′E. Dzieciol
58′K. TabisM. Kozajda
58′S. StrozikA. Sadiku
60′D. Szuprytowski
73′K. Ibe-TortiA. Klimek
75′C. Demianiuk
77′S. KobusinskiM. Marzec
82′L. Trepka
82′W. StaszakA. Rybak
86′C. DemianiukN. Zielonka

Stadion ChrobregoReferee: L. Karski

Chrobry Głogów 49%
Draw 28%
Pogoń Siedlce 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChrobry GłogówDrawPogoń Siedlce
Model47.0%30.0%23.0%
Market49.0%27.1%23.9%
Final48.5%27.8%23.7%
Edge-2.0%+2.9%-0.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Chrobry Głogów

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.89.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chrobry Głogów ↓ / Pogoń Siedlce → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Siedlce expected goals

Chrobry Głogów 1.38
Pogoń Siedlce 0.89

Total expected goals: 2.27

Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Siedlce attack and defence ratings

Chrobry Głogów

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Pogoń Siedlce

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce: result vs prediction

Chrobry Głogów 0 – 0 Pogoń Siedlce

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chrobry Głogów 48.5% 2.06 -2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 54.5% 1.83 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.0% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chrobry Głogów48.5%
Draw27.8%
Pogoń Siedlce23.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.7%
Under 2.560.3%
Both teams to scoreYes45.5%
No54.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.3%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)51.5%
Handicap -1Chrobry Głogów win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss53.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-012.9%
0-011.6%

Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce stats

Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Siedlce recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Siedlce going into this match

league record before kick-off

Chrobry Głogów record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pogoń Siedlce record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4Chrobry Głogów wins 0Draws 1Pogoń Siedlce wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22Pogoń SiedlceChrobry GłogówI Liga1-2
2025-09-12Chrobry GłogówPogoń SiedlceI Liga2-1
2024-12-01Chrobry GłogówPogoń SiedlceI Liga1-0
2024-07-20Pogoń SiedlceChrobry GłogówI Liga1-2
2022-10-20Pogoń SiedlceChrobry GłogówCup3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 27.1%, away 23.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.83 3.28 4.03
Bet365 1.85 3.40 3.80
BetVictor 1.85 3.40 3.80
Betano 1.90 3.35 3.90
Betfair 1.85 3.40 3.75
Dafabet 1.89 3.40 3.90
Marathonbet 1.81 3.28 3.95
Pinnacle 1.90 3.49 4.18
SBO 1.91 3.14 3.49
Unibet 1.81 3.30 3.80
William Hill 1.85 3.10 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 —
X 3.35 ▲ +0.03
2 3.80 ▼ -0.08

11 snapshots recorded, from .