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I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

3 – 2 Full time

23′A. Oshafi
28′J. Mierzwa
30′S. Dudek
37′N. Niski
46′J. ZbrogJ. Jedrasik
48′K. Glogowski
50′J. Jedrasik
57′E. Wolinski
60′H. Uzoigwe
63′R. MajewskiD. Jaron
63′A. OshafiH. Turski
68′S. DudekA. Burkiewicz
68′K. SabilloM. Kosior
71′N. NiskiM. Ruszkiewicz
77′J. MierzwaJ. Czarnecki
78′A. Burkiewicz
79′J. NiewiadomskiJ. Konstantyn
83′J. Konstantyn
88′B. Dembek
90′D. GaskaJ. Kaminski
90′D. MakuchJ. Bieronski

Stadion Miejski, SkierniewiceReferee: A. Borowiak

Unia Skierniewice 40%
Draw 26%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUnia SkierniewiceDrawPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Model30.2%29.5%40.3%
Market43.3%25.3%31.4%
Final40.1%26.3%33.6%
Edge-13.1%+4.2%+8.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Unia Skierniew ↓ / Pogoń Grod. Ma → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Unia Skierniewice and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected goals

Unia Skierniewice 1.13
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.34

Total expected goals: 2.48

Unia Skierniewice and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki attack and defence ratings

Unia Skierniewice

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: result vs prediction

Unia Skierniewice 3 – 2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Unia Skierniewice 40.1% 2.50 -13.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.8% 1.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Unia Skierniewice40.1%
Draw26.3%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki33.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.0%
Under 2.555.0%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.4%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)59.9%
Handicap -1Unia Skierniewice win12.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss69.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
0-110.0%
0-09.7%

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki stats

Unia Skierniewice and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki recent form

newest first
Unia Skierniewice LLWLWD
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki WLDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Unia Skierniewice and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki going into this match

league record before kick-off

Unia Skierniewice record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Unia Skierniewice wins 0Draws 9Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-04Unia SkierniewicePogoń Grod. MazowieckiFriendlies Clubs0-1
2026-01-24Unia SkierniewicePogoń Grod. MazowieckiFriendlies Clubs2-0
2025-02-01Unia SkierniewicePogoń Grod. MazowieckiFriendlies Clubs2-3
2024-06-08Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiUnia SkierniewiceIII Liga - Group 13-0
2023-11-18Unia SkierniewicePogoń Grod. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 12-7
2023-04-15Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiUnia SkierniewiceIII Liga - Group 14-0
2022-09-10Unia SkierniewicePogoń Grod. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 10-1
2021-06-05Unia SkierniewicePogoń Grod. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 10-3
2021-04-24Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiUnia SkierniewiceIII Liga - Group 14-2
2020-10-03Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiUnia SkierniewiceIII Liga - Group 11-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.4%, draw 25.3%, away 31.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.12 3.44 2.97
Bet365 2.10 3.60 2.90
BetVictor 2.10 3.60 2.90
Betano 2.15 3.65 2.95
Betfair 2.10 3.60 2.88
Dafabet 2.08 3.60 3.10
Marathonbet 2.10 3.44 2.91
Pinnacle 2.20 3.75 3.04
SBO 1.93 3.26 2.88
William Hill 2.10 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▲ +0.10
X 3.60 ▲ +0.04
2 2.90 ▼ -0.20

11 snapshots recorded, from .