I Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Lechia Gdansk
vs
Miedz Legnica
2 – 1 Full time
| 31′ | K. Noiszewski | ||
| 32′ | T. Neugebauer | ||
| 53′ | K. Dodaj | ||
| 56′ | O. SzymoniakO. Olewinski | ||
| 56′ | J. LetniowskiK. Fucak | ||
| 56′ | W. HajdaI. Korczakowski | ||
| 60′ | H. IvanovJ. Adkonis | ||
| 68′ | D. StanclikM. Mansfeld | ||
| 71′ | M. Grudzinski | ||
| 73′ | A. ShakhM. Glogowski | ||
| 73′ | T. WojtowiczI. Bambecki | ||
| 75′ | M. GrudzinskiG. Norlin | ||
| 81′ | M. Mansfeld | ||
| 84′ | I. Bambecki | ||
| 86′ | I. Bambecki | ||
| 86′ | I. Bambecki | ||
| 88′ | V. BlanutaW. Madej | ||
| 88′ | M. GlogowskiB. Szczepankiewicz | ||
| 90′ | S. Kopasek | ||
| 90′ | K. Dodaj |
Lechia Gdansk
34%
Draw
26%
Miedz Legnica
40%
Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica
| Probability | Lechia Gdansk | Draw | Miedz Legnica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 29.3% | 47.1% |
| Market | 37.5% | 25.0% | 37.5% |
| Final | 34.0% | 26.1% | 39.9% |
| Edge | -13.8% | +4.3% | +9.6% |
Why Miedz Legnica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.95.
- The market prices Miedz Legnica below the model: +9.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
11%
Lechia Gdansk and Miedz Legnica expected goals
Lechia Gdansk
0.95
Miedz Legnica
1.43
Total expected goals: 2.38
Lechia Gdansk and Miedz Legnica attack and defence ratings
Lechia Gdansk
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Miedz Legnica
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
0.65 -35%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica: result vs prediction
Lechia Gdansk 2 – 1 Miedz Legnica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Polonia Warszawa v Polonia Bytom — match page
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs ŁKS Łódź — team news & stats
- Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce
- Warta Poznań v Arka Gdynia — match page
- Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie — team news & stats
- Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Odra Opole vs Stal Rzeszów — team news & stats
- Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza
Before and after this match
Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Miedz Legnica | 39.9% | 2.51 | +9.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lechia Gdansk | 34.0% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Miedz Legnica | 39.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Miedz Legnica win | 23.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 53.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 12.0% | |
| 0-0 | 10.5% |
Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica stats
Lechia Gdansk and Miedz Legnica recent form
| Lechia Gdansk |
LWWWLD |
| Miedz Legnica |
DLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lechia Gdansk and Miedz Legnica going into this match
Lechia Gdansk record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Miedz Legnica record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
3Lechia Gdansk wins
1Draws
2Miedz Legnica wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-26 | Miedz Legnica | Lechia Gdansk | I Liga | 4-1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Lechia Gdansk | Miedz Legnica | I Liga | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-10 | Lechia Gdansk | Miedz Legnica | Ekstraklasa | 4-0 |
| 2022-08-27 | Miedz Legnica | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 2-1 |
| 2018-12-17 | Miedz Legnica | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
| 2018-08-10 | Lechia Gdansk | Miedz Legnica | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.5%, draw 25.1%, away 37.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.64 | 2.39 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.75 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.65 | 2.47 |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 3.64 | 2.39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49 | 4.04 | 2.49 |
| SBO | 2.31 | 3.23 | 2.33 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.40 ▲ +0.03
X
3.60 ▼ -0.10
2
2.40 ▼ -0.01
13 snapshots recorded, from .