Nieciecza
vs
Lechia Gdansk
2 – 1 Full time
| 41′ | K. Lopata | ||
| 44′ | S. Kopasek | ||
| 49′ | D. Malov | ||
| 52′ | W. Jakubik | ||
| 65′ | H. IvanovT. Neugebauer | ||
| 65′ | M. GlogowskiV. Blanuta | ||
| 67′ | D. BiniekO. Slawinski | ||
| 76′ | M. KozikA. Zarowny | ||
| 76′ | W. JakubikJ. Wrobel | ||
| 76′ | R. BobocS. Dabrowski | ||
| 83′ | K. DodajI. Bambecki | ||
| 88′ | K. Kubica | ||
| 90′ | A. Shakh |
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk
| Probability | Nieciecza | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.0% | 21.1% | 24.9% |
| Market | 44.7% | 25.8% | 29.5% |
| Final | 47.0% | 24.6% | 28.4% |
| Edge | +9.3% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
Why Nieciecza
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.58.
- The market prices Nieciecza below the model: +9.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nieciecza and Lechia Gdansk expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.92
Nieciecza and Lechia Gdansk attack and defence ratings
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk: result vs prediction
Nieciecza 2 – 1 Lechia Gdansk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
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- Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów
- Stal Mielec v Odra Opole — match page
- Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa — team news & stats
- Arka Gdynia vs ŁKS Łódź
- Polonia Bytom v Podbeskidzie — match page
- Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nieciecza | 47.0% | 2.13 | +9.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nieciecza | 47.0% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Lechia Gdansk | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% |
| No | 27.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nieciecza win | 34.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 45.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.6% |
| 1-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk stats
Nieciecza and Lechia Gdansk recent form
| Nieciecza |
WDLLLW |
| Lechia Gdansk |
WWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nieciecza and Lechia Gdansk going into this match
Nieciecza record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lechia Gdansk record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Nieciecza | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 3-2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Lechia Gdansk | Nieciecza | Ekstraklasa | 5-1 |
| 2024-04-14 | Lechia Gdansk | Nieciecza | I Liga | 3-1 |
| 2023-10-01 | Nieciecza | Lechia Gdansk | I Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-04-09 | Lechia Gdansk | Nieciecza | Ekstraklasa | 2-0 |
| 2021-10-16 | Nieciecza | Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.7%, draw 25.8%, away 29.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 3.65 | 3.45 |
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.48 | 3.08 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.55 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.48 | 3.02 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 3.76 | 3.11 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.46 | 3.57 |
| Superbet | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.85 |
| Unibet | 1.92 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .