Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk

1 – 2 Full time

46′D. SinkiewiczA. Shakh
47′D. Wojtyra
51′R. Niziolek
51′A. Ziolkowski
52′A. Shakh
58′A. Ziolkowski
61′I. BambeckiK. Dodaj
61′J. AdkonisT. Wojtowicz
63′D. Czaplinski
64′D. Lewandowski
68′S. DanielewskiD. Malov
68′M. GlogowskiV. Blanuta
73′K. NaporaJ. Jurek
73′Neison AntunesM. Kulig
76′B. Sonko
79′M. MajK. Muller
90′B. Sonko

Stadion Mijeski Kluczbork, Kluczbork

Kluczbork 25%
Draw 24%
Lechia Gdansk 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKluczborkDrawLechia Gdansk
Model46.5%25.0%28.5%
Market17.7%23.1%59.2%
Final24.9%23.6%51.6%
Edge+28.8%+1.9%-30.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kluczbork ↓ / Lechia Gdansk → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Kluczbork and Lechia Gdansk expected goals

Kluczbork 1.81
Lechia Gdansk 1.39

Total expected goals: 3.19

Kluczbork and Lechia Gdansk attack and defence ratings

Kluczbork

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Lechia Gdansk

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk: result vs prediction

Kluczbork 1 – 2 Lechia Gdansk

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lechia Gdansk 51.6% 1.94 -30.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.7% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.4% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kluczbork24.9%
Draw23.6%
Lechia Gdansk51.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.7%
Under 2.538.3%
Both teams to scoreYes63.6%
No36.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.4%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)75.1%
Handicap -1Lechia Gdansk win13.1%
Push (exactly one goal)15.5%
Loss71.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-19.3%
1-27.1%

Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk stats

Kluczbork and Lechia Gdansk recent form

newest first
Kluczbork no matches on record
Lechia Gdansk WWLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.7%, draw 23.1%, away 59.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.10 3.90 1.50
1xBet 5.71 3.92 1.49
Bet365 4.75 4.00 1.53
BetVictor 5.50 4.10 1.50
Betano 5.10 3.90 1.52
Betfair 5.00 4.20 1.47
Dafabet 5.40 4.30 1.53
Marathonbet 5.15 3.84 1.52
Pinnacle 4.42 3.78 1.57
SBO 4.78 3.65 1.44
Superbet 5.20 3.70 1.58
Unibet 4.35 3.85 1.60
William Hill 5.50 3.70 1.53

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.10 ▼ -0.15
X 3.90 ▼ -0.10
2 1.52 ▲ +0.04

2 snapshots recorded, from .