I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole

1 – 1 Full time

8′P. Szysz
39′M. GostomskiP. Chrapusta
57′T. GmurK. Odolak
57′M. CebulaP. Kruszelnicki
60′K. Getinger
66′B. KwiecienM. Wyparlo
66′K. CybulskiS. Oure
66′M. SpychalaB. Spacil
66′B. BaranskiF. Kupczyk
73′P. SzyszJ. Perez
73′M. FeliksS. Gieroba
81′K. Koscielny
81′A. LiberM. Scalet
86′B. Kukulowicz
87′J. Perez

Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, MielecReferee: L. Lewandowski

Stal Mielec 40%
Draw 28%
Odra Opole 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStal MielecDrawOdra Opole
Model36.8%26.7%36.5%
Market41.1%28.1%30.8%
Final40.0%27.8%32.2%
Edge-4.2%-1.4%+5.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stal Mielec ↓ / Odra Opole → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 7% 12% 8% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Stal Mielec and Odra Opole expected goals

Stal Mielec 1.49
Odra Opole 1.48

Total expected goals: 2.97

Stal Mielec and Odra Opole attack and defence ratings

Stal Mielec

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Odra Opole

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole: result vs prediction

Stal Mielec 1 – 1 Odra Opole

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stal Mielec 40.0% 2.50 -4.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.0% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.9% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.2% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.2% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stal Mielec40.0%
Draw27.8%
Odra Opole32.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.0%
Under 2.543.0%
Both teams to scoreYes60.9%
No39.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.8%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)60.0%
Handicap -1Stal Mielec win18.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss63.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
2-18.4%
1-28.4%

Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole stats

Stal Mielec and Odra Opole recent form

newest first
Stal Mielec DLLWDD
Odra Opole WDDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stal Mielec and Odra Opole going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stal Mielec record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Odra Opole record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3Stal Mielec wins 3Draws 1Odra Opole wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-01Odra OpoleStal MielecI Liga0-2
2025-08-21Stal MielecOdra OpoleI Liga2-1
2023-09-26Odra OpoleStal MielecCup1-2
2020-07-04Stal MielecOdra OpoleI Liga1-1
2019-10-24Odra OpoleStal MielecI Liga1-0
2019-04-24Odra OpoleStal MielecI Liga1-1
2018-10-05Stal MielecOdra OpoleI Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 27.7%, away 30.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.21 3.22 2.97
Bet365 2.15 3.10 3.00
BetVictor 2.25 3.30 2.90
Betano 2.20 3.40 3.00
Betfair 2.15 3.50 2.88
Dafabet 2.22 3.45 3.05
Marathonbet 2.19 3.22 2.91
Pinnacle 2.30 3.50 3.04
SBO 2.22 3.04 2.56
Superbet 2.22 3.35 3.00
William Hill 2.20 3.20 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.21 ▼ -0.10
X 3.22 ▼ -0.08
2 2.94 ▲ +0.24

12 snapshots recorded, from .