I Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Pogoń Siedlce
vs
Puszcza Niepołomice
1 – 3 Full time
| 27′ | M. Marzec | ||
| 33′ | S. Kobusinski | ||
| 40′ | K. PrzybylkoF. Szabaciuk | ||
| 46′ | M. MarzecD. Szuprytowski | ||
| 48′ | A. Gjoni | ||
| 51′ | O. Korczakowski | ||
| 53′ | F. Kendzia | ||
| 57′ | O. Kocar | ||
| 60′ | O. GerstensteinA. Trubeha | ||
| 61′ | O. KorczakowskiM. Cholewiak | ||
| 62′ | S. KobusinskiN. Zielonka | ||
| 62′ | B. PoczobutR. Makowski | ||
| 67′ | M. Cholewiak | ||
| 76′ | M. Strajnar | ||
| 77′ | J. BarczakD. Jakubik | ||
| 77′ | E. DzieciolP. Klimek | ||
| 78′ | O. Kocar | ||
| 80′ | W. Kaminski | ||
| 85′ | A. Piekarski | ||
| 85′ | W. KaminskiB. Kurzeja | ||
| 85′ | A. GjoniK. Iwao |
Pogoń Siedlce
36%
Draw
29%
Puszcza Niepołomice
35%
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice
| Probability | Pogoń Siedlce | Draw | Puszcza Niepołomice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.8% | 32.5% | 27.7% |
| Market | 35.0% | 27.9% | 37.1% |
| Final | 36.2% | 29.0% | 34.8% |
| Edge | +1.2% | +1.2% | -2.4% |
Why Pogoń Siedlce
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
63%
3+ goals
35%
No goals
14%
Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice expected goals
Pogoń Siedlce
1.16
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.92
Total expected goals: 2.08
Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice attack and defence ratings
Pogoń Siedlce
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Puszcza Niepołomice
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice: result vs prediction
Pogoń Siedlce 1 – 3 Puszcza Niepołomice
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Warta Poznań — match page
- Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk — team news & stats
- Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów
- Stal Mielec v Odra Opole — match page
- Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa — team news & stats
- Arka Gdynia vs ŁKS Łódź
- Polonia Bytom v Podbeskidzie — match page
- Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice
Before and after this match
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pogoń Siedlce | 36.2% | 2.76 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pogoń Siedlce | 36.2% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 34.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pogoń Siedlce win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 60.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.1% |
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice stats
Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice recent form
| Pogoń Siedlce |
LWDWWL |
| Puszcza Niepołomice |
LLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice going into this match
Pogoń Siedlce record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Puszcza Niepołomice record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0Pogoń Siedlce wins
1Draws
1Puszcza Niepołomice wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Pogoń Siedlce | Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 28.1%, away 37.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.28 | 2.42 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 3.28 | 2.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69 | 3.34 | 2.65 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 3.08 | 2.42 |
| Superbet | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.27 |
| Unibet | 2.80 | 3.15 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.60 ▼ -0.46
X
3.26 ▲ +0.09
2
2.45 ▲ +0.25
19 snapshots recorded, from .