Stal Rzeszów
vs
Polonia Warszawa
2 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | S. Goss | ||
| 21′ | S. Goss | ||
| 32′ | K. Kukulka | ||
| 39′ | W. Brzek | ||
| 57′ | K. TabaraA. Kapusta | ||
| 57′ | M. KuuskS. Kowalczyk | ||
| 59′ | I. Durmus | ||
| 63′ | S. PukalaK. Masiak | ||
| 63′ | W. BrzekO. Madej | ||
| 64′ | S. Skrabb | ||
| 69′ | S. SalamonM. Musik | ||
| 69′ | D. OlafssonD. Vega | ||
| 81′ | M. RittmullerW. Machura | ||
| 84′ | E. TerpilowskiK. Ziolkowski | ||
| 84′ | R. DadokJ. Paszkowski | ||
| 89′ | O. Madej | ||
| 90′ | V. Krasovskiy | ||
| 90′ | D. Gnaase |
Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa
| Probability | Stal Rzeszów | Draw | Polonia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.8% | 26.7% | 44.5% |
| Market | 28.8% | 25.8% | 45.3% |
| Final | 28.8% | 26.0% | 45.1% |
| Edge | -0.0% | +0.8% | -0.8% |
Why Polonia Warszawa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.27.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stal Rzeszów and Polonia Warszawa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
Stal Rzeszów and Polonia Warszawa attack and defence ratings
Stal Rzeszów
Polonia Warszawa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa: result vs prediction
Stal Rzeszów 2 – 1 Polonia Warszawa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Warta Poznań — match page
- Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk — team news & stats
- Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów
- Stal Mielec v Odra Opole — match page
- Arka Gdynia vs ŁKS Łódź
- Polonia Bytom v Podbeskidzie — match page
- Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polonia Warszawa | 45.1% | 2.22 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stal Rzeszów | 28.8% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Polonia Warszawa | 45.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polonia Warszawa win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 7.9% |
Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa stats
Stal Rzeszów and Polonia Warszawa recent form
| Stal Rzeszów |
WWLDDL |
| Polonia Warszawa |
WLWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stal Rzeszów and Polonia Warszawa going into this match
Stal Rzeszów record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Polonia Warszawa record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Stal Rzeszów | Polonia Warszawa | I Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-03 | Polonia Warszawa | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-10 | Stal Rzeszów | Polonia Warszawa | I Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-04 | Polonia Warszawa | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-26 | Stal Rzeszów | Polonia Warszawa | I Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-01 | Polonia Warszawa | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.7%, draw 25.7%, away 45.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.21 | 3.50 | 1.99 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.80 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | 3.16 | 3.52 | 1.96 |
| Pinnacle | 3.32 | 3.72 | 2.08 |
| SBO | 2.86 | 3.18 | 1.98 |
| Superbet | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
| Unibet | 3.15 | 3.55 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .