I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów

1 – 1 Full time

26′I. Maliszewski
42′K. Noiszewski
46′I. KorczakowskiM. Jovicic
51′R. MandryszR. Bak
69′W. StaszakM. Ozimek
69′K. TabisA. Sadiku
75′A. CordobaM. Bochnak
75′D. StanclikK. Fucak
76′K. AntonikG. Norlin
77′J. Lis
81′S. Strozik
87′K. NoiszewskiM. Mansfeld
87′K. Ibe-TortiA. Bukowski
87′K. GrzelakA. Rybak
90′R. Bak
90′M. Mansfeld

Referee: M. Piszczelok

Miedz Legnica 47%
Draw 28%
Chrobry Głogów 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMiedz LegnicaDrawChrobry Głogów
Model37.9%34.4%27.7%
Market50.2%25.8%24.0%
Final47.1%28.0%24.9%
Edge-12.3%+8.6%+3.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Miedz Legnica

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Miedz Legnica ↓ / Chrobry Głogów → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 12% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

Miedz Legnica and Chrobry Głogów expected goals

Miedz Legnica 1.04
Chrobry Głogów 0.85

Total expected goals: 1.89

Miedz Legnica and Chrobry Głogów attack and defence ratings

Miedz Legnica

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Chrobry Głogów

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów: result vs prediction

Miedz Legnica 1 – 1 Chrobry Głogów

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Miedz Legnica 47.1% 2.12 -12.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.7% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score No 61.7% 1.62 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.1% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Miedz Legnica47.1%
Draw28.0%
Chrobry Głogów24.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.3%
Under 2.570.7%
Both teams to scoreYes38.3%
No61.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.1%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)52.9%
Handicap -1Miedz Legnica win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss62.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.5%
1-114.7%
1-014.4%

Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów stats

Miedz Legnica and Chrobry Głogów recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Miedz Legnica and Chrobry Głogów going into this match

league record before kick-off

Miedz Legnica record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Chrobry Głogów record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Miedz Legnica wins 4Draws 4Chrobry Głogów wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-02Miedz LegnicaChrobry GłogówPoland Cup0-1
2026-02-21Miedz LegnicaChrobry GłogówI Liga0-1
2026-01-17Miedz LegnicaChrobry GłogówFriendlies Clubs2-3
2025-08-16Chrobry GłogówMiedz LegnicaI Liga2-2
2025-04-27Chrobry GłogówMiedz LegnicaI Liga1-1
2024-10-19Miedz LegnicaChrobry GłogówI Liga1-0
2024-07-06Chrobry GłogówMiedz LegnicaFriendlies Clubs0-1
2024-04-13Chrobry GłogówMiedz LegnicaI Liga0-0
2024-01-20Chrobry GłogówMiedz LegnicaFriendlies Clubs2-1
2023-09-30Miedz LegnicaChrobry GłogówI Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.1%, draw 25.8%, away 24.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.80 3.54 3.82
Bet365 1.80 3.40 3.80
BetVictor 1.83 3.60 3.70
Betano 1.83 3.60 3.90
Betfair 1.75 3.80 3.80
Dafabet 1.86 3.65 3.90
Marathonbet 1.78 3.52 3.78
Pinnacle 1.87 3.84 3.89
SBO 1.79 3.24 3.34
Superbet 1.85 3.55 3.80
Unibet 1.89 3.40 3.40
William Hill 1.83 3.40 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▲ +0.08
X 3.53 ▼ -0.33
2 3.79 ▼ -0.21

11 snapshots recorded, from .