I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice

3 – 1 Full time

4′M. Chrapek
46′M. RosolS. Nagamatsu
46′K. LaskowskiK. Rostek
46′A. BurkiewiczK. Sabillo
46′J. BieronskiS. Dudek
59′K. KaliszJ. Mierzwa
65′S. Nagamatsu
67′M. PawlowskiT. Sutherland
69′B. BidaK. Toporkiewicz
75′S. Dudek
77′B. EizenchartM. Szmyd
81′M. KonczkowskiF. Wojcik
85′M. ChrapekP. Sikora
87′S. Nagamatsu

Superauto.pl Stadion SlaskiReferee: T. Marciniak

Ruch Chorzów 53%
Draw 25%
Unia Skierniewice 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRuch ChorzówDrawUnia Skierniewice
Model47.3%30.7%22.0%
Market54.7%23.7%21.6%
Final52.8%25.5%21.7%
Edge-7.3%+6.9%+0.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Ruch Chorzów

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ruch Chorzów ↓ / Unia Skierniew → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 8% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Ruch Chorzów and Unia Skierniewice expected goals

Ruch Chorzów 1.34
Unia Skierniewice 0.83

Total expected goals: 2.17

Ruch Chorzów and Unia Skierniewice attack and defence ratings

Ruch Chorzów

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Unia Skierniewice

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice: result vs prediction

Ruch Chorzów 3 – 1 Unia Skierniewice

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ruch Chorzów 52.8% 1.89 -7.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.1% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 57.1% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.3% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.7% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ruch Chorzów52.8%
Draw25.5%
Unia Skierniewice21.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.9%
Under 2.563.1%
Both teams to scoreYes42.9%
No57.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.3%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)47.2%
Handicap -1Ruch Chorzów win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss52.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.0%
1-114.0%
0-012.7%

Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice stats

Ruch Chorzów and Unia Skierniewice recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ruch Chorzów and Unia Skierniewice going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ruch Chorzów record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Unia Skierniewice record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Ruch Chorzów wins 0Draws 0Unia Skierniewice wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-12-04Unia SkierniewiceRuch ChorzówCup0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.7%, draw 23.7%, away 21.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 3.80 4.00
1xBet 1.67 3.84 4.16
Bet365 1.70 3.70 3.90
BetVictor 1.67 3.90 4.20
Betano 1.67 3.90 4.50
Betfair 1.65 3.80 4.33
Dafabet 1.64 4.10 4.60
Marathonbet 1.66 3.82 4.20
Pinnacle 1.62 4.39 4.74
SBO 1.58 3.76 4.36
Superbet 1.73 3.85 4.10
Unibet 1.63 3.65 4.35
William Hill 1.62 3.80 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.66 ▼ -0.07
X 3.82 ▲ +0.17
2 4.20 ▲ +0.20

14 snapshots recorded, from .