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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów

0 – 2 Full time

3′A. Komor
35′D. SzczepanM. Pawlowski
41′M. Chrapek
61′K. OlekD. Debski
61′D. WiecekM. Lisowski
65′M. ChrapekS. Nagamatsu
65′K. LaskowskiP. Szwedzik
71′A. del Moral
83′W. Nahrebecki
83′P. Szwedzik
84′M. ZientarskiM. Kurek
85′J. Bursztyn
85′K. Rostek
89′M. Szpakowski
90′K. Rostek
90′K. Rostek

MOSiR

Lechia Zielona Góra 30%
Draw 28%
Ruch Chorzów 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLechia Zielona GóraDrawRuch Chorzów
Model38.1%29.6%32.3%
Market27.4%27.0%45.5%
Final30.1%27.7%42.2%
Edge+10.7%+2.6%-13.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lechia Zielona ↓ / Ruch Chorzów → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Lechia Zielona Góra and Ruch Chorzów expected goals

Lechia Zielona Góra 1.29
Ruch Chorzów 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.50

Lechia Zielona Góra and Ruch Chorzów attack and defence ratings

Lechia Zielona Góra

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Ruch Chorzów

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów: result vs prediction

Lechia Zielona Góra 0 – 2 Ruch Chorzów

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ruch Chorzów 42.2% 2.37 -13.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.8% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.8% 1.93 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.6% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lechia Zielona Góra30.1%
Draw27.7%
Ruch Chorzów42.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.2%
Under 2.554.8%
Both teams to scoreYes51.8%
No48.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.8%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)69.9%
Handicap -1Ruch Chorzów win14.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss66.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
0-09.6%
1-09.6%

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów stats

Lechia Zielona Góra and Ruch Chorzów recent form

newest first
Lechia Zielona Góra no matches on record
Ruch Chorzów LWWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Lechia Zielona Góra wins 0Draws 2Ruch Chorzów wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-05-01Lechia Zielona GóraRuch ChorzówIII Liga - Group 30-2
2020-09-20Ruch ChorzówLechia Zielona GóraIII Liga - Group 34-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.4%, draw 27.0%, away 45.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 3.35 2.00
1xBet 3.41 3.28 1.99
Bet365 3.00 3.40 2.05
BetVictor 3.30 3.40 2.00
Betano 3.20 3.35 2.02
Betfair 3.30 3.50 1.91
Dafabet 3.40 3.50 2.05
Marathonbet 3.34 3.28 1.97
Pinnacle 3.26 3.24 1.96
SBO 2.97 3.00 1.88
Superbet 4.15 3.55 1.76
Unibet 3.65 3.55 1.77
William Hill 3.30 3.20 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▼ -0.60
X 3.35 ▼ -0.25
2 1.99 ▲ +0.24

3 snapshots recorded, from .