I Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Ruch Chorzów
vs
Podbeskidzie
3 – 3 Full time
| 19′ | P. Szwedzik | ||
| 24′ | M. Urynowicz | ||
| 46′ | Y. ShikavkaO. Tomczyk | ||
| 46′ | A. IwanczykW. Slomka | ||
| 58′ | A. Coscia | ||
| 58′ | A. Kasperkiewicz | ||
| 63′ | M. SitekM. Rakoczy | ||
| 64′ | M. UrynowiczT. Hirosawa | ||
| 67′ | A. CosciaM. Pawlowski | ||
| 67′ | S. NagamatsuT. Sutherland | ||
| 78′ | F. WojcikM. Konczkowski | ||
| 78′ | K. RostekK. Laskowski | ||
| 81′ | M. Konczkowski | ||
| 82′ | L. KlisiewiczK. Gach | ||
| 83′ | M. Biernat | ||
| 85′ | A. Lukic | ||
| 86′ | A. Lukic | ||
| 90′ | O. Tomczyk | ||
| 90′ | P. SzwedzikP. Sikora | ||
| 90′ | M. Rakoczy | ||
| 90′ | O. Tomczyk |
Ruch Chorzów
49%
Draw
27%
Podbeskidzie
24%
Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie
| Probability | Ruch Chorzów | Draw | Podbeskidzie |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.7% | 28.4% | 18.8% |
| Market | 48.1% | 26.1% | 25.8% |
| Final | 49.3% | 26.7% | 24.0% |
| Edge | +4.6% | +2.3% | -6.9% |
Why Ruch Chorzów
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ruch Chorzów below the model: +4.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
Ruch Chorzów and Podbeskidzie expected goals
Ruch Chorzów
1.51
Podbeskidzie
0.81
Total expected goals: 2.32
Ruch Chorzów and Podbeskidzie attack and defence ratings
Ruch Chorzów
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Podbeskidzie
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie: result vs prediction
Ruch Chorzów 3 – 3 Podbeskidzie
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Polonia Warszawa v Polonia Bytom — match page
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs ŁKS Łódź — team news & stats
- Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce
- Warta Poznań v Arka Gdynia — match page
- Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Lechia Gdansk v Miedz Legnica — match page
- Odra Opole vs Stal Rzeszów — team news & stats
- Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza
Before and after this match
Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ruch Chorzów | 49.3% | 2.03 | +4.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ruch Chorzów | 49.3% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Podbeskidzie | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ruch Chorzów win | 27.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.7% |
| 1-1 | 13.2% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie stats
Ruch Chorzów and Podbeskidzie recent form
| Ruch Chorzów |
WWLWWD |
| Podbeskidzie |
DLLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ruch Chorzów and Podbeskidzie going into this match
Ruch Chorzów record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Podbeskidzie record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Ruch Chorzów wins
1Draws
1Podbeskidzie wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-06 | Ruch Chorzów | Podbeskidzie | I Liga | 2-2 |
| 2022-09-04 | Podbeskidzie | Ruch Chorzów | I Liga | 0-1 |
| 2022-07-02 | Podbeskidzie | Ruch Chorzów | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 26.3%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.48 | 3.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.55 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.48 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.80 | 3.65 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 3.13 | 3.24 |
| Unibet | 1.94 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.90 ▼ -0.04
X
3.50 ▼ -0.02
2
3.55 ▲ +0.25
9 snapshots recorded, from .