I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie

0 – 0 Full time

4′M. Urynowicz
10′L. Zielinski
34′D. KoniecznyA. Malachowski
44′K. Andrzejczak
59′K. Andrzejczak
59′K. Andrzejczak
63′P. Stefanski
63′A. IwanczykW. Slomka
65′K. OrlikB. Mioc
65′K. WolkowiczA. Gajgier
65′K. WojtyraD. Rumin
67′M. SitekT. Hirosawa
76′P. StefanskiG. Szymusik
79′B. MartoszD. Pietraszkiewicz
80′Y. ShikavkaO. Tomczyk

Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8, BytomReferee: P. Urban

Polonia Bytom 41%
Draw 26%
Podbeskidzie 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPolonia BytomDrawPodbeskidzie
Model47.9%22.5%29.6%
Market39.3%26.6%34.1%
Final41.5%25.6%32.9%
Edge+8.6%-4.2%-4.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Polonia Bytom

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.66.
  • The market prices Polonia Bytom below the model: +8.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Polonia Bytom ↓ / Podbeskidzie → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Polonia Bytom and Podbeskidzie expected goals

Polonia Bytom 2.12
Podbeskidzie 1.66

Total expected goals: 3.78

Polonia Bytom and Podbeskidzie attack and defence ratings

Polonia Bytom

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Podbeskidzie

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie: result vs prediction

Polonia Bytom 0 – 0 Podbeskidzie

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Polonia Bytom 41.5% 2.41 +8.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.7% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.0% 1.39 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.1% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Polonia Bytom41.5%
Draw25.6%
Podbeskidzie32.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.7%
Under 2.527.3%
Both teams to scoreYes72.0%
No28.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.1%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)58.5%
Handicap -1Polonia Bytom win28.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss52.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.9%
2-18.5%
2-27.1%

Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie stats

Polonia Bytom and Podbeskidzie recent form

newest first
Polonia Bytom DDLDLW
Podbeskidzie LLDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Polonia Bytom and Podbeskidzie going into this match

league record before kick-off

Polonia Bytom record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.

Podbeskidzie record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Polonia Bytom wins 0Draws 0Podbeskidzie wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-02-28Polonia BytomPodbeskidzieII Liga - East1-0
2024-08-03PodbeskidziePolonia BytomII Liga - East0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.3%, draw 26.6%, away 34.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.29 3.38 2.65
Bet365 2.30 3.40 2.62
BetVictor 2.30 3.50 2.63
Betano 2.37 3.40 2.72
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.60
Dafabet 2.36 3.45 2.75
Marathonbet 2.29 3.38 2.65
Pinnacle 2.40 3.61 2.81
SBO 2.21 3.11 2.52
Superbet 2.37 3.40 2.75
Unibet 2.40 3.35 2.48
William Hill 2.25 3.30 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.29 —
X 3.39 ▲ +0.01
2 2.65 —

5 snapshots recorded, from .