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Poland Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa

0 – 1 Full time

38′S. Kowalczyk
50′M. Kowalski-Haberek
52′J. Paszkowski
59′S. KowalczykD. Gnaase
59′O. WojciechowskiR. Dadok
66′K. StrzeleckiK. Marszalik
68′M. MrozS. Skrabb
68′D. VegaI. Durmus
80′F. BaranowskiM. Surozynski
80′S. SkrzypczakO. Leopold
80′M. JozwiakK. Kotala
80′K. KostorzK. Tabara
85′R. Dadok
90′D. Gnaase
Górnik Polkowice 24%
Draw 23%
Polonia Warszawa 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGórnik PolkowiceDrawPolonia Warszawa
Model37.9%25.9%36.2%
Market19.3%22.1%58.6%
Final23.9%23.1%53.0%
Edge+18.6%+3.7%-22.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Górnik Polkowi ↓ / Polonia Warsza → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Górnik Polkowice and Polonia Warszawa expected goals

Górnik Polkowice 1.58
Polonia Warszawa 1.55

Total expected goals: 3.13

Górnik Polkowice and Polonia Warszawa attack and defence ratings

Górnik Polkowice

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Polonia Warszawa

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa: result vs prediction

Górnik Polkowice 0 – 1 Polonia Warszawa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Poland Cup

Before and after this match

Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Polonia Warszawa 53.0% 1.89 -22.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.5% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Górnik Polkowice23.9%
Draw23.1%
Polonia Warszawa53.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%
Both teams to scoreYes63.6%
No36.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.0%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)76.1%
Handicap -1Polonia Warszawa win18.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss63.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%

Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa stats

Górnik Polkowice and Polonia Warszawa recent form

newest first
Górnik Polkowice no matches on record
Polonia Warszawa LWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Górnik Polkowice wins 0Draws 1Polonia Warszawa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-05-26Górnik PolkowicePolonia WarszawaII Liga - East2-0
2022-10-21Polonia WarszawaGórnik PolkowiceII Liga - East3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Górnik Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.3%, draw 22.1%, away 58.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.40 3.95 1.57
1xBet 4.71 4.10 1.55
Bet365 4.20 4.10 1.57
BetVictor 4.80 4.10 1.55
Betano 4.80 4.05 1.53
Betfair 4.75 4.20 1.53
Dafabet 4.80 4.30 1.59
Marathonbet 4.65 4.10 1.53
Pinnacle 4.35 3.99 1.55
SBO 4.11 3.57 1.48
Superbet 5.60 4.30 1.46
Unibet 5.10 4.25 1.46
William Hill 4.60 3.90 1.57

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.71 ▼ -0.64
X 4.10 ▼ -0.18
2 1.55 ▲ +0.09

3 snapshots recorded, from .