I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Nieciecza vs Odra Opole

1 – 0 Full time

8′D. Hilbrycht
24′S. Guerrero
46′B. BaranskiS. Gieroba
49′S. Gieroba
58′M. SpychalaM. Milos
58′M. ScaletJ. Perez
64′D. BiniekI. Durdov
76′D. HilbrychtM. Synos
76′W. JakubikR. Kurzawa
80′B. BiedrzyckiF. Kupczyk
81′K. Kubica
85′P. SzyszCassio
87′S. GuerreroO. Slawinski
87′M. KozikA. Zarowny

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza, NiecieczaReferee: A. Rozycki

Nieciecza 47%
Draw 27%
Odra Opole 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Nieciecza vs Odra Opole overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nieciecza vs Odra Opole

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNiecieczaDrawOdra Opole
Model46.3%27.5%26.2%
Market47.2%26.8%26.0%
Final47.0%27.0%26.1%
Edge-0.8%+0.7%+0.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Nieciecza

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nieciecza ↓ / Odra Opole → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Nieciecza and Odra Opole expected goals

Nieciecza 1.58
Odra Opole 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.70

Nieciecza and Odra Opole attack and defence ratings

Nieciecza

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Odra Opole

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nieciecza vs Odra Opole: result vs prediction

Nieciecza 1 – 0 Odra Opole

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Nieciecza vs Odra Opole markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nieciecza 47.0% 2.13 -0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.7% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nieciecza47.0%
Draw27.0%
Odra Opole26.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.7%
Under 2.549.3%
Both teams to scoreYes54.9%
No45.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.9%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)53.0%
Handicap -1Nieciecza win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-19.4%
1-09.3%

Nieciecza vs Odra Opole stats

Nieciecza and Odra Opole recent form

newest first
Nieciecza WWWDLL
Odra Opole LDWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nieciecza and Odra Opole going into this match

league record before kick-off

Nieciecza record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Odra Opole record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Nieciecza vs Odra Opole head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Nieciecza wins 2Draws 4Odra Opole wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-02-14Odra OpoleNiecieczaI Liga2-2
2024-08-04NiecieczaOdra OpoleI Liga3-0
2024-04-25NiecieczaOdra OpoleI Liga0-1
2023-10-22Odra OpoleNiecieczaI Liga2-1
2022-11-12Odra OpoleNiecieczaI Liga1-2
2022-07-15NiecieczaOdra OpoleI Liga2-1
2021-05-30Odra OpoleNiecieczaI Liga1-0
2020-12-09NiecieczaOdra OpoleI Liga1-1
2020-07-25NiecieczaOdra OpoleI Liga1-0
2019-11-09Odra OpoleNiecieczaI Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nieciecza vs Odra Opole odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.2%, draw 26.8%, away 26.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.89 3.44 3.52
Bet365 1.85 3.40 3.60
BetVictor 1.93 3.40 3.50
Betano 1.95 3.45 3.55
Betfair 1.91 3.40 3.50
Marathonbet 1.87 3.44 3.44
Pinnacle 1.95 3.76 3.65
SBO 1.94 3.02 3.10
William Hill 1.95 3.25 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 ▲ +0.03
X 3.40 ▼ -0.07
2 3.50 ▼ -0.01

9 snapshots recorded, from .