I Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk

1 – 2 Full time

7′S. Kopasek
13′D. Malov
30′K. Dodaj
36′V. Blanuta
40′D. Beskorovaynyi
46′S. SalamonA. Buksa
46′O. MadejA. Naifi
65′M. LeniartW. Brzek
65′S. PukalaM. Listkowski
65′A. Buksa
71′A. ShakhJ. Mena
71′K. DodajN. Hovhannisyan
77′A. Buksa
80′V. BlanutaM. Glogowski
82′M. Kaczor
90′T. WojtowiczJ. Adkonis
90′T. NeugebauerB. Szczepankiewicz

Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie, RzeszowReferee: P. Pskit

Stal Rzeszów 36%
Draw 25%
Lechia Gdansk 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStal RzeszówDrawLechia Gdansk
Model37.0%23.4%39.5%
Market35.6%25.5%38.9%
Final36.0%24.9%39.1%
Edge+0.4%-0.5%+0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stal Rzeszów ↓ / Lechia Gdansk → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Stal Rzeszów and Lechia Gdansk expected goals

Stal Rzeszów 1.80
Lechia Gdansk 1.86

Total expected goals: 3.66

Stal Rzeszów and Lechia Gdansk attack and defence ratings

Stal Rzeszów

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Lechia Gdansk

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk: result vs prediction

Stal Rzeszów 1 – 2 Lechia Gdansk

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

I Liga

Before and after this match

Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lechia Gdansk 39.1% 2.56 +0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.8% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.4% 1.40 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.5% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stal Rzeszów36.0%
Draw24.9%
Lechia Gdansk39.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.8%
Under 2.529.2%
Both teams to scoreYes71.4%
No28.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.9%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)64.0%
Handicap -1Lechia Gdansk win21.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss60.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.5%
1-28.0%
2-17.7%

Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk stats

Stal Rzeszów and Lechia Gdansk recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stal Rzeszów and Lechia Gdansk going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stal Rzeszów record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lechia Gdansk record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Stal Rzeszów wins 0Draws 1Lechia Gdansk wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-27Stal RzeszówLechia GdanskI Liga4-2
2023-10-28Lechia GdanskStal RzeszówI Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 25.5%, away 38.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.53 3.54 2.27
Bet365 2.55 3.40 2.38
BetVictor 2.55 3.60 2.38
Betano 2.62 3.65 2.37
Betfair 2.55 3.75 2.20
Dafabet 2.65 3.60 2.39
Marathonbet 2.53 3.54 2.27
Pinnacle 2.65 3.85 2.42
SBO 2.59 3.28 2.08
William Hill 2.50 3.50 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.25
X 3.57 ▼ -0.03
2 2.33 ▲ +0.23

13 snapshots recorded, from .