Piast Gliwice
vs
Cracovia Krakow
Garuda Lions Prediction: Piast Gliwice
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow
| Probability | Piast Gliwice | Draw | Cracovia Krakow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.9% | 22.8% | 18.3% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 58.9% | 22.8% | 18.3% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Piast Gliwice
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow match preview
Piast Gliwice enters this match against Cracovia Krakow with a strong recent form, having won five of their last six games. Their expected goals stand at 2.06, indicating a robust attacking performance, while Cracovia Krakow has struggled, recording only one win in their last six matches and an expected goals figure of 1.08.
According to our model, Piast Gliwice has a 59% probability of winning, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Additionally, there is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a probability of 59%. The head-to-head record shows Piast Gliwice with one win and one draw against Cracovia Krakow in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Piast Gliwice and Cracovia Krakow expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Piast Gliwice and Cracovia Krakow attack and defence ratings
Piast Gliwice
Cracovia Krakow
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Piast Gliwice | 58.9% | 1.70 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% | 1.22 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.1% | 2.43 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Piast Gliwice | 58.9% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Cracovia Krakow | 18.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% |
| No | 41.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Piast Gliwice win | 36.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 41.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.1% |
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow stats
Piast Gliwice and Cracovia Krakow recent form
| Piast Gliwice |
WLWWWW |
| Cracovia Krakow |
WLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Piast Gliwice and Cracovia Krakow season so far
Piast Gliwice record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cracovia Krakow record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Cracovia Krakow | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Piast Gliwice | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.